@0x1Ca59B4088339065440836b425c586F02C9480F5-1769958266039

#2,347,73971

0x1ca59b4088339065440836b425c586f02c9480f5

~37d· 293 markets · 6155 tradesVol: $66,4332026-08-02 07:44:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (66/129)10.6/20
1.59x (win $1,129 / loss $710)9.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.07715/15
Sortino 9.51910/10
$+0.0195 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 153 (129 markets)10/10
15/27 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($164 / $582)8.4/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 22.9 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#75,164$73Vol: $33,834
₿ CRYPTO#1,371,769$-45Vol: $14,283
💰 FINANCE#604,866$-29Vol: $6,320
🎭 CULTURE#711,568$-16Vol: $3,925
⚽ SPORTS#320,770$6Vol: $3,862
📢 MENTIONS#143,788$-22Vol: $873
📈 ECONOMICS#564,639$-5Vol: $786
💻 TECH#26,738$4Vol: $663

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-50
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$66,433
Total Redeem
$3
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
293
total markets
Trades
5189B / 966S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $1,643
Week
$-51
Vol: $1,643
Month
$-13
Vol: $6,220
All Time
$-50
Vol: $66,433

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
66W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$-50
Win Rate
51%
66W / 63L
Profit Factor
1.59x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $506 (10.215006050826947% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$271
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?$136
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$100
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$64
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$57
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$51
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$46
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$41
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$36

Top Losers

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-86
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?$-72
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$-54
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$-50
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-38
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$-33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-30
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$-21
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.209
Sortino
0.459
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
1.6%
Half-Kelly
0.8%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
38.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.9m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 0.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock38 trades/day — high frequency1.8 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.95
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.7%
Mid (20-55c)35.3%
High (>55c)62%

Sessions

#12
2/24/2026, 1:45:14 PM181 trades$65470 min
7/19/2026, 9:10:31 PM118 trades$52758 min
7/29/2026, 3:04:53 PM139 trades$4894 min
7/14/2026, 7:19:31 PM87 trades$36524 min
3/3/2026, 6:43:45 PM93 trades$32839 min
8/2/2026, 2:04:23 AM54 trades$25044 min
3/3/2026, 4:00:09 PM61 trades$21926 min
7/31/2026, 8:41:29 PM50 trades$21533 min
7/23/2026, 10:28:07 PM41 trades$20732 min
3/7/2026, 11:00:35 AM39 trades$1878 min
2/24/2026, 3:00:08 PM45 trades$16916 min
7/7/2026, 5:41:23 PM40 trades$16517 min
3/7/2026, 3:15:07 PM43 trades$16015 min
2/24/2026, 5:43:54 PM39 trades$15822 min
7/23/2026, 5:48:45 PM34 trades$15433 min
3/7/2026, 11:30:31 AM28 trades$1483 min
3/8/2026, 12:29:49 PM33 trades$14210 min
3/7/2026, 2:51:39 PM30 trades$14017 min
2/24/2026, 9:11:12 PM41 trades$13725 min
2/24/2026, 5:14:42 PM27 trades$1342 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
04-12
07-08
07-13
07-18
07-23
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.7 / M35.3 / H62