@bitterfish

#2,08193

0x1cd24cc49782240413903b4b7e7694779f917f85

~84d· 145 markets · 1061 tradesVol: $1,411,3482026-08-02 05:22:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (82/141)14.1/20
3.74x (win $279,700 / loss $74,884)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.02115/15
Sortino 17.20610/10
$+0.3571 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 475 (141 markets)10/10
41/61 profitable days (67%)9.3/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($23,998 / $212,270)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+91,619
DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Whale
$573,572 invested
Consistent
41/61 profitable days
High Roller
$2,148/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,880,491$-34,174Vol: $686,633
CRYPTO#569$66,733Vol: $363,612
💰 FINANCE#56$60,024Vol: $308,616
📈 ECONOMICS#669,181$-230Vol: $35,861
🏛️ POLITICS#20,246$826Vol: $10,242
🌤️ WEATHER#9,434$59Vol: $1,059

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$91,619
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,411,348
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
145
total markets
Trades
235B / 826S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~84d

Periods

#2
Today
$214
Vol: $8,116
Week
$-772
Vol: $8,116
Month
$-2,904
Vol: $27,838
All Time
$91,619
Vol: $1,411,348

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
82W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$91,619
Win Rate
58%
82W / 59L
Profit Factor
3.74x
Avg Win
$3,411
Avg Loss
$-1,362

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $139,925 (1.527252386105713% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$56,856
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$49,265
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$33,805
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$16,505
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$14,415
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score$12,589
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9,442
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$8,556
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$7,778
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$7,000

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-23,998
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$-10,000
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,758
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$-6,518
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,000
FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5$-4,000
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5$-3,000
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5$-2,000
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?$-2,000
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 0.5$-2,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.261
Sortino
0.563
HHI
408
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.388
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
39.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1181s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.88
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.7%
High (>55c)64.7%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 4:46:27 PM8 trades$74,6420 min
6/23/2026, 1:12:02 PM32 trades$39,4970 min
7/31/2026, 4:55:32 PM16 trades$35,4210 min
7/15/2026, 2:24:44 PM16 trades$26,9000 min
2/25/2026, 4:21:02 PM1 trades$22,0780 min
6/25/2026, 2:11:05 PM21 trades$21,9950 min
6/4/2026, 8:33:06 AM38 trades$20,5332 min
7/17/2026, 4:03:22 PM14 trades$19,6660 min
5/12/2026, 2:42:04 AM14 trades$19,6330 min
5/3/2026, 4:11:10 PM12 trades$19,5560 min
7/20/2026, 2:38:30 PM5 trades$19,2700 min
7/29/2026, 1:30:09 AM11 trades$18,2220 min
5/2/2026, 5:38:00 AM33 trades$18,0640 min
7/22/2026, 1:33:00 AM7 trades$16,7600 min
6/11/2026, 2:09:55 PM17 trades$16,6980 min
5/2/2026, 7:09:12 AM26 trades$16,6180 min
6/23/2026, 5:07:58 PM5 trades$16,3480 min
7/20/2026, 9:01:58 AM17 trades$14,3470 min
5/14/2026, 7:56:48 AM23 trades$14,2460 min
7/17/2026, 5:13:21 AM37 trades$13,9831 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-09
01-07
03-17
06-11
06-28
07-23
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.6 / M18.7 / H64.7