bearner

@bearner

#2,946,36810

0x1cda47a052b7552bd848565b320c0e819fa7cee7

~54d· 138 markets · 371 tradesVol: $31,122 @iveabadtaste2026-08-02 07:02:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (36/121)0/20
0.51x (win $1,149 / loss $2,237)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9630/15
Sortino -4.0680/10
$-0.2738 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 260 (121 markets)10/10
14/45 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,225 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,618,184$-1,069Vol: $11,959
🏛️ POLITICS#1,570,047$-242Vol: $7,475
SPORTS#84,441$217Vol: $5,192
🎭 CULTURE#733,722$-24Vol: $2,614
🌤️ WEATHER#237,406$-7Vol: $1,950
📈 ECONOMICS#638,746$-33Vol: $515
💰 FINANCE#38,351$22Vol: $160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,216
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,122
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
138
total markets
Trades
174B / 197S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $0
Week
$-23
Vol: $0
Month
$-30
Vol: $711
All Time
$-1,216
Vol: $31,122

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
36W / 85L events
Realized PnL
$-1,216
Win Rate
30%
36W / 85L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $372 (0.3057622269539697% of PnL)

Top Winners

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$155
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$115
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$89
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?$61
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$50
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$40
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$37
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-26?$33

Top Losers

Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?$-448
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-374
Will Solana dip to $190 in September?$-179
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$-104
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)$-100
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-89
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-80
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-77
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?$-71
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.205
Sortino
-0.181
HHI
424
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.294
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.6%
Top-5 markets
38.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 2.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.63
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46%
Mid (20-55c)33.9%
High (>55c)20.1%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 8:20:35 PM42 trades$7383 min
9/6/2025, 1:05:00 AM1 trades$5000 min
11/22/2025, 6:15:17 PM4 trades$4781 min
7/20/2026, 11:52:54 PM7 trades$2981 min
11/26/2025, 6:10:01 PM6 trades$2789 min
12/16/2025, 11:03:01 PM1 trades$2540 min
7/25/2026, 10:32:13 PM11 trades$2372 min
7/21/2026, 8:32:12 PM12 trades$2372 min
10/29/2025, 3:09:03 AM2 trades$2271 min
7/19/2026, 9:26:24 PM6 trades$2165 min
7/10/2026, 9:29:20 PM16 trades$2134 min
7/28/2026, 9:34:23 PM7 trades$2101 min
7/24/2026, 12:04:16 AM11 trades$2086 min
8/1/2026, 11:36:48 PM16 trades$2033 min
9/10/2025, 1:01:52 AM1 trades$2000 min
11/21/2025, 12:51:41 AM3 trades$2002 min
2/23/2026, 12:52:30 PM2 trades$1781 min
7/19/2026, 4:10:15 PM2 trades$1760 min
12/9/2025, 8:15:32 PM6 trades$1705 min
7/19/2026, 7:13:51 PM3 trades$1500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
11-22
02-23
06-20
07-03
07-19
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.63/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46 / M33.9 / H20.1