@shirokb

#2,751,38120

0x1ce2f4d7392d50e8453d478da24ace68e8add913

~15d· 39 markets · 152 tradesVol: $14,7982026-08-02 07:03:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (15/39)4.2/20
0.30x (win $161 / loss $537)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.0510/15
Sortino -7.4420/10
$-0.1324 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1004 (39 markets)7.5/10
8/13 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($393 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Consistent
8/13 profitable days

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,358,131$-40Vol: $8,542
🎭 CULTURE#783,134$-109Vol: $4,956
SPORTS#1,685,798$-107Vol: $1,301

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-256
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,798
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
61B / 91S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-256
Vol: $14,798

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
15W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-256
Win Rate
38%
15W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $92 (0.35782036769585074% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)$46
Spread: Athletics (-3.5)$24
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)$22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$20
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)$16
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 9?$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 7?$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 8?$1

Top Losers

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)$-191
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)$-160
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$-76
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-12
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)$-10
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)$-10
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)$-8
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)$-6
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.405
Sortino
-0.291
HHI
1429
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.132
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.9%
Top-5 markets
80.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 103s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)45.9%
High (>55c)44.3%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 1:23:04 PM22 trades$1,8777 min
6/18/2026, 10:50:07 AM5 trades$7852 min
6/28/2026, 4:09:10 AM2 trades$5660 min
6/19/2026, 12:04:25 AM24 trades$3474 min
6/24/2026, 4:06:05 PM2 trades$2250 min
6/25/2026, 11:22:56 AM2 trades$1980 min
6/19/2026, 6:16:16 PM25 trades$14310 min
6/24/2026, 1:02:37 PM2 trades$1130 min
6/19/2026, 3:49:11 PM7 trades$455 min
7/9/2026, 5:49:13 AM2 trades$400 min
7/3/2026, 2:21:20 PM4 trades$361 min
6/27/2026, 7:05:13 AM12 trades$2912 min
6/19/2026, 2:15:47 PM2 trades$280 min
7/15/2026, 5:05:41 AM2 trades$250 min
7/31/2026, 8:00:57 AM2 trades$250 min
6/29/2026, 12:51:58 AM5 trades$241 min
6/30/2026, 8:29:32 AM3 trades$190 min
6/19/2026, 1:27:44 AM2 trades$170 min
7/21/2026, 9:12:46 AM2 trades$170 min
7/1/2026, 7:57:23 AM3 trades$160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-24
06-27
06-29
07-04
07-15
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M45.9 / H44.3