@CapeCalibratedPM
#2,906,840440x1d2a47b6ec514a0fe26cb07a45cd4702b4647682
~66d· 3920 markets · 27633 tradesVol: $200,9802026-08-02 06:22:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (2004/3852)11/20
1.01x (win $21,653 / loss $21,374)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4418.3/15
Sortino 0.7517.5/10
$+0.0057 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 12 (3852 markets)10/10
30/65 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 115% of peak ($1,833 / $1,599)0/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#1,786,297$-430Vol: $117,309
₿ CRYPTO#1,557,791$-286Vol: $20,060
🌤️ WEATHER#287,852$-141Vol: $17,119
🏛️ POLITICS#1,509,600$-92Vol: $6,017
💰 FINANCE#609,852$-35Vol: $4,775
🎭 CULTURE#751,736$-39Vol: $2,993
📢 MENTIONS#123,331$-8Vol: $1,259
📈 ECONOMICS#591,217$-9Vol: $112
💻 TECH#210,722$-4Vol: $107
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-865
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$200,980
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3920
total markets
Trades
13541B / 14092S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $13
Week
$-34
Vol: $13
Month
$-12
Vol: $285
All Time
$-865
Vol: $200,980
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
2004W / 1848L events
Realized PnL
$-865
Win Rate
52%
2004W / 1848L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-13
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $749 (0.8660914621452198% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$385
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5$192
Portugal leading at halftime?$172
Knicks vs. Spurs$169
Spread: Spain (-1.5)$158
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?$157
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5$154
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$152
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$147
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner$147
Top Losers
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$-303
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)$-137
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-132
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner$-132
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-126
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-123
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-121
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-120
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score$-120
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)$-117
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.023
Sortino
0.037
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
400.5
Very active
Markets / Day
56.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
31s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.1m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
33 min
Avg Trades / Session
154.4
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 31s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock400 trades/day — automation57 markets/day — mass coverage49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.09
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)37.6%
High (>55c)55%
Sessions
#126/16/2026, 7:20:27 AM332 trades$2,46386 min
7/10/2026, 3:59:04 PM11 trades$2,0385 min
6/9/2026, 10:08:18 AM508 trades$1,850135 min
6/20/2026, 4:38:19 PM466 trades$1,33165 min
6/17/2026, 3:16:25 AM184 trades$1,1847 min
6/16/2026, 9:25:52 PM140 trades$1,0254 min
6/15/2026, 7:49:52 AM170 trades$1,01848 min
6/21/2026, 1:06:05 PM480 trades$1,01671 min
7/10/2026, 3:47:14 PM8 trades$1,0016 min
6/17/2026, 7:29:13 AM205 trades$99611 min
6/8/2026, 8:59:12 AM289 trades$959107 min
6/9/2026, 10:32:04 PM245 trades$911138 min
6/18/2026, 6:59:05 PM259 trades$88014 min
6/17/2026, 12:17:05 AM183 trades$8724 min
6/10/2026, 7:03:15 PM231 trades$82076 min
6/14/2026, 3:37:04 AM159 trades$79632 min
6/15/2026, 6:13:00 PM90 trades$7429 min
6/9/2026, 2:40:15 PM229 trades$71578 min
6/14/2026, 5:36:42 AM168 trades$71222 min
6/17/2026, 7:31:55 PM110 trades$7065 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-27
06-07
06-17
06-27
07-07
07-17
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M37.6 / H55