Juenger

@Juenger

#6,34095

0x1d3fd83676aabe718c13cba008e0a774b2127fec

~114d· 2594 markets · 5000 tradesVol: $456,468 @OrbetPM2026-08-02 01:30:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (2444/2593)20/20
6.27x (win $38,875 / loss $6,204)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.60215/15
Sortino 24.12310/10
$+0.0990 per $1 invested5/10
HHI 28 (2593 markets)10/10
100/113 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($3,150 / $32,672)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+25,541
Whale
$329,902 invested
Consistent
100/113 profitable days
High Roller
$1,404/day
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Win Streak
138 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#2,313$25,568Vol: $455,549
💰 FINANCE#603,073$-27Vol: $617
🏛️ POLITICS#826,901$-1Vol: $150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$25,541
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$456,468
Total Redeem
$17,745
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2594
total markets
Trades
3090B / 1910S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$1,116
Vol: $0
Month
$1,116
Vol: $14,015
All Time
$25,541
Vol: $456,468

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
94%
2444W / 149L events
Realized PnL
$25,541
Win Rate
94%
2444W / 149L
Profit Factor
6.27x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,595 (0.45397539094969236% of PnL)

Top Winners

O/U 0.5 Rounds$4,680
Fight to Go the Distance?$4,197
O/U 0.5 Rounds$2,718
O/U 2.5 Rounds$1,869
Will Gabriella Fernandes win by KO or TKO?$1,579
Fight to Go the Distance?$1,286
O/U 2.5 Rounds$1,200
O/U 1.5 Rounds$926
Fight to Go the Distance?$925
O/U 1.5 Rounds$784

Top Losers

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-1,000
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. AEK Lárnakas end in a draw?$-551
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?$-287
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?$-208
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-183
O/U 1.5 Rounds$-177
Will Ravena Oliveira win by KO or TKO?$-148
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 148.5$-146
$-143
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 133.5$-143

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.240
Sortino
0.494
HHI
26
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.099
Kelly %
49.6%
Half-Kelly
24.8%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.3
Active
Markets / Day
11.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.1m
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency11 markets/day — mass coverage15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.92
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)4%
High (>55c)94.8%

Sessions

#12
3/29/2026, 1:39:06 AM4 trades$9,6926 min
6/6/2026, 9:14:46 PM14 trades$8,2072 min
3/11/2026, 1:04:15 AM1 trades$6,9780 min
6/15/2026, 5:02:19 AM20 trades$5,5483 min
8/1/2026, 5:41:00 PM5 trades$5,3690 min
3/14/2026, 3:10:03 AM26 trades$4,6958 min
6/7/2026, 12:48:13 AM14 trades$4,5843 min
3/14/2026, 2:33:57 AM30 trades$4,57810 min
2/22/2026, 3:26:04 AM33 trades$4,36115 min
6/21/2026, 12:50:53 AM23 trades$4,1344 min
3/13/2026, 11:27:13 PM28 trades$4,0829 min
3/29/2026, 2:05:42 AM8 trades$3,9494 min
3/4/2026, 1:46:23 AM28 trades$3,55627 min
2/8/2026, 2:44:03 AM22 trades$3,51719 min
2/8/2026, 12:10:23 AM47 trades$3,50231 min
5/16/2026, 10:21:43 PM15 trades$3,4595 min
3/8/2026, 12:17:37 AM11 trades$3,33015 min
3/14/2026, 2:09:19 AM18 trades$3,1157 min
3/27/2026, 1:25:17 AM6 trades$3,0552 min
3/1/2026, 2:48:41 AM39 trades$2,86532 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-10
01-08
01-27
02-15
03-10
04-18
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M4 / H94.8