@mufettis

#152,73349

0x1d4779a882859eab255e99a009a348e4ac2d1908

~40d· 37 markets · 174 tradesVol: $44,551 @nftmufettisi2026-08-02 05:10:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (13/29)7.4/20
1.24x (win $1,268 / loss $1,021)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.28115/15
Sortino 2.39110/10
$+0.0201 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 1182 (29 markets)6.6/10
8/19 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 126% of peak ($464 / $369)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+270
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
CRYPTO#40,973$556Vol: $39,012
🏛️ POLITICS#1,378,100$-20Vol: $1,513
SPORTS#1,722,499$-163Vol: $859

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$270
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,551
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
109B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$-142
Vol: $0
Week
$-480
Vol: $0
Month
$-314
Vol: $0
All Time
$270
Vol: $44,551

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
13W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$270
Win Rate
45%
13W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$98
Avg Loss
$-68

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,024 (3.7963821032731593% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$558
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$371
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?$95
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$87
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?$59
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-16?$44
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?$17
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?$14
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$8
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5

Top Losers

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$-245
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$-122
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-100
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-100
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-02-28?$-100
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$-100
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?$-65
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-56
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?$-50
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.065
Sortino
0.123
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
23%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.86
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.7%
Mid (20-55c)39.4%
High (>55c)45.9%

Sessions

#12
3/5/2026, 7:37:49 PM2 trades$2,0900 min
2/8/2026, 7:50:57 AM8 trades$1,27710 min
6/19/2026, 6:39:19 AM5 trades$1,1342 min
4/28/2026, 9:04:18 PM4 trades$1,0060 min
3/5/2026, 7:48:27 PM3 trades$9551 min
5/13/2026, 10:47:46 AM8 trades$9103 min
2/13/2026, 5:24:35 PM1 trades$8140 min
7/1/2026, 6:37:59 PM11 trades$7690 min
2/6/2026, 8:41:39 PM2 trades$7501 min
5/25/2026, 1:25:19 PM9 trades$6600 min
6/18/2026, 7:24:19 PM7 trades$5921 min
2/18/2026, 10:49:06 AM1 trades$5590 min
1/22/2026, 3:08:38 PM4 trades$5441 min
2/8/2026, 12:56:11 PM1 trades$5000 min
2/3/2026, 10:32:20 PM4 trades$4001 min
2/17/2026, 10:11:49 AM5 trades$3272 min
2/8/2026, 6:15:11 PM1 trades$3000 min
2/8/2026, 6:20:29 PM1 trades$3000 min
2/18/2026, 10:38:04 AM2 trades$2940 min
6/29/2026, 4:44:01 PM1 trades$2800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-28
01-22
01-29
02-13
02-24
05-13
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.7 / M39.4 / H45.9