
@balto
#3,043,049320x1dc2b0cd289085c698c12cb68ea1034bd538a9eb
~115d· 734 markets · 2038 tradesVol: $163,9092026-08-02 07:35:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
64% (466/731)16.9/20
0.55x (win $6,796 / loss $12,312)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5910/15
Sortino -3.7610/10
$-0.1141 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 408 (731 markets)10/10
48/98 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($5,574 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 64%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#30,290$411Vol: $42,725
⚽ SPORTS#70,503$316Vol: $27,010
🎭 CULTURE#809,569$-941Vol: $23,715
💻 TECH#255,827$-673Vol: $11,353
₿ CRYPTO#225,871$11Vol: $8,857
📢 MENTIONS#175,930$-2,418Vol: $7,774
🌤️ WEATHER#226,586$-5Vol: $163
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,674
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$163,909
Total Redeem
$62
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
734
total markets
Trades
1251B / 787S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $27
Week
$-661
Vol: $27
Month
$112
Vol: $316
All Time
$-5,674
Vol: $163,909
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
64%
466W / 265L events
Realized PnL
$-5,674
Win Rate
64%
466W / 265L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-50
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,561 (0.27509551805326454% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran military response before October?$606
Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?$548
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?$407
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$362
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5$280
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$260
Germany to win the second half?$207
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B$172
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$163
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5 Corners$153
Top Losers
Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?$-2,066
Biden drops out of presidential race?$-1,483
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$-883
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-686
Pavel Durov released in August?$-673
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$-662
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$-512
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?$-350
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner$-347
Mexico to win the second half?$-254
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.187
Sortino
-0.156
HHI
334
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.114
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
33.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 783s — normal for humanCV 4.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.77
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3%
Mid (20-55c)25.3%
High (>55c)71.6%
Sessions
#128/5/2024, 12:05:19 AM2 trades$4,6641 min
8/25/2024, 6:26:06 PM3 trades$3,9412 min
8/26/2024, 7:57:45 PM2 trades$3,3361 min
7/21/2024, 6:52:36 PM1 trades$3,0010 min
9/3/2024, 3:59:16 PM5 trades$2,4264 min
8/22/2024, 4:51:40 AM1 trades$2,3910 min
8/22/2024, 7:51:51 AM1 trades$2,3750 min
7/11/2026, 11:47:29 PM2 trades$1,5980 min
7/11/2026, 2:59:22 AM2 trades$1,5100 min
8/26/2024, 2:45:10 PM6 trades$1,4985 min
8/23/2024, 10:14:45 AM2 trades$1,4881 min
8/26/2024, 5:32:09 PM2 trades$1,4110 min
8/24/2024, 9:57:19 AM1 trades$1,4050 min
9/2/2024, 4:18:46 PM10 trades$1,3275 min
7/25/2026, 4:24:16 PM2 trades$1,3120 min
8/27/2024, 12:45:19 PM4 trades$1,3034 min
9/4/2024, 4:49:16 AM1 trades$1,2480 min
8/14/2024, 7:39:01 PM1 trades$1,1970 min
9/3/2024, 11:25:56 AM9 trades$1,16217 min
8/17/2024, 9:12:17 AM1 trades$1,0660 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
10-08
01-23
04-24
06-13
06-29
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3 / M25.3 / H71.6