@extence

#3,040,5176

0x1e38107bc05ddfc9f3b950e77165abbd716205a8

~10d· 20 markets · 327 tradesVol: $139,5992026-08-02 06:38:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (7/17)5.6/20
0.31x (win $3,585 / loss $11,482)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2965 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3307 (17 markets)0/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 641% of peak ($10,355 / $1,616)0/10

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,871,031$-5,204Vol: $108,948
💰 FINANCE#651,153$-707Vol: $16,333

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,159
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$139,599
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
58B / 269S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
7W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-5,159
Win Rate
41%
7W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$512
Avg Loss
$-1,276

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,596 (0.5031578947368421% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$1,071
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$795
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$729
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$449
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$392
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$60

Top Losers

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?$-5,665
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?$-3,615
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,576
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$-398
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-175
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$-30
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$-19
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$-5
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.320
Sortino
-0.291
HHI
1903
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.367
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.4%
Top-5 markets
69.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
47s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 47s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours11/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.29
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.6%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)51.7%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 2:12:01 PM168 trades$93,91212 min
5/27/2026, 4:34:44 AM31 trades$12,4451 min
6/14/2026, 6:35:48 AM27 trades$8,6380 min
5/21/2026, 5:12:52 AM17 trades$5,9506 min
5/14/2026, 5:08:48 AM10 trades$3,8440 min
7/14/2026, 4:57:58 PM18 trades$1,98811 min
7/15/2026, 9:14:13 PM4 trades$1,9861 min
7/15/2026, 1:47:13 PM13 trades$1,9686 min
5/12/2026, 5:03:58 PM8 trades$7980 min
6/14/2026, 6:30:12 AM6 trades$3910 min
6/27/2026, 3:01:40 AM10 trades$2741 min
6/26/2026, 1:59:56 AM8 trades$1291 min
7/15/2026, 2:01:38 PM4 trades$221 min
6/26/2026, 5:59:23 AM1 trades$190 min
6/26/2026, 2:33:53 AM1 trades$90 min
7/5/2026, 2:12:29 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
05-27
06-26
06-27
07-14
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
82.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.6 / M20.7 / H51.7