@tolledo
#278,489170x1e66abb6c966fa1ffbedec7af06190cbcf9441e7
~206d· 3487 markets · 34042 tradesVol: $4,132,7422026-08-02 06:22:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (1216/3206)4/20
0.44x (win $4,804 / loss $10,903)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9790/15
Sortino -6.2090/10
$-0.1034 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 37 (3206 markets)10/10
82/201 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 1476% of peak ($6,541 / $443)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+70
Lottery Player
86% entries < $0.20
Whale
$58,971 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#53,822$140Vol: $1,439,210
🎭 CULTURE#60,273$13Vol: $619,653
₿ CRYPTO#1,418,733$-65Vol: $608,377
⚽ SPORTS#1,581,731$-47Vol: $528,024
💰 FINANCE#27,096$46Vol: $516,890
📈 ECONOMICS#24,351$28Vol: $238,445
💻 TECH#18,846$9Vol: $67,919
🌤️ WEATHER#240,223$-8Vol: $44,309
📢 MENTIONS#145,183$-24Vol: $17,519
Overview
#1Net PnL
$69
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,132,742
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3487
total markets
Trades
22796B / 11246S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~206d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $33
All Time
$69
Vol: $4,132,742
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
1216W / 1990L events
Realized PnL
$70
Win Rate
38%
1216W / 1990L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,053 (15.092433361994843% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$544
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$276
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$232
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$216
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$170
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in February?$67
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$61
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$54
Top Losers
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-232
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-151
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-141
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$-74
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$-70
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$-63
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$-61
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-53
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-49
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.312
Sortino
-0.309
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.109
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
12.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
144.9
Very active
Markets / Day
14.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.6m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.4
Bot Detection
#675
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 212s — normal for humanCV 8.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock145 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage88% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.63
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)85.9%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)14.1%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 4:50:08 AM2 trades$1,6400 min
4/28/2026, 3:05:18 AM4 trades$1,6357 min
5/17/2026, 11:03:56 AM55 trades$1,5771 min
6/5/2026, 7:32:21 PM12 trades$1,3380 min
5/20/2026, 10:11:48 AM10 trades$1,1484 min
4/28/2026, 2:30:10 PM91 trades$1,00116 min
5/14/2026, 3:56:30 AM3 trades$9620 min
5/14/2026, 6:52:12 AM6 trades$8700 min
4/20/2026, 10:31:58 PM9 trades$8464 min
5/27/2026, 2:02:17 AM4 trades$7630 min
4/24/2026, 9:45:08 PM9 trades$70712 min
5/29/2026, 5:53:54 PM49 trades$70219 min
4/24/2026, 4:03:56 AM7 trades$6998 min
5/19/2026, 11:01:36 AM20 trades$6613 min
4/28/2026, 3:43:32 AM7 trades$6595 min
4/22/2026, 11:40:08 AM29 trades$6221 min
5/18/2026, 12:27:39 PM41 trades$62112 min
5/16/2026, 6:22:31 PM56 trades$6069 min
5/14/2026, 5:16:23 AM10 trades$6056 min
6/9/2026, 9:15:37 PM2 trades$6030 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-10
01-23
02-25
03-30
05-10
06-12
07-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 94 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.63/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L85.9 / M0.1 / H14.1