@walnutpeanut
#16,013790x205bdf587a5f67f608cbd42724e2d568c1558edf
~55d· 110 markets · 2550 tradesVol: $9,494,0842026-08-02 05:12:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
35% (28/79)2.7/20
2.35x (win $44,669 / loss $19,034)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.26315/15
Sortino 14.67710/10
$+0.2022 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 383 (79 markets)10/10
17/30 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($6,308 / $26,078)9.2/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+9,045
Whale
$126,777 invested
High Roller
$1,281/day
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#1,863,163$-3,055Vol: $9,254,691
🏛️ POLITICS#3,472$11,140Vol: $134,718
🎭 CULTURE#812,519$-1,732Vol: $41,828
📈 ECONOMICS#679,042$-1,373Vol: $37,430
₿ CRYPTO#11,612$4,050Vol: $20,197
🌤️ WEATHER#11,584$39Vol: $2,626
💰 FINANCE#578,563$-12Vol: $1,204
Overview
#1Net PnL
$9,045
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,494,084
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
110
total markets
Trades
563B / 1987S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d
Periods
#2Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,796
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $453
All Time
$9,045
Vol: $9,494,084
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
35%
28W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$9,045
Win Rate
35%
28W / 51L
Profit Factor
2.35x
Avg Win
$1,595
Avg Loss
$-453
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,783 (2.629441966704183% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10,595
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,231
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$5,957
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$5,179
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5,030
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2,252
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,716
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1,432
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$1,424
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,336
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,458
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-2,095
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-2,000
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$-1,800
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-1,726
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-1,635
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,495
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-1,319
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-925
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-716
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.271
Sortino
0.664
HHI
328
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.225
Kelly %
9.7%
Half-Kelly
4.9%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
30.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
25.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.3
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 616s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency1.1 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
27.48
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.6%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)52.6%
Sessions
#126/29/2026, 11:19:31 PM481 trades$62,7492 min
6/29/2026, 11:30:02 PM340 trades$28,26518 min
6/30/2026, 3:22:04 AM28 trades$20,5130 min
6/30/2026, 3:32:55 AM16 trades$20,0021 min
5/27/2026, 5:49:28 PM45 trades$11,3164 min
6/14/2026, 2:55:57 PM15 trades$7,9450 min
5/27/2026, 5:38:37 PM44 trades$7,2532 min
7/1/2026, 8:01:28 PM37 trades$7,11110 min
6/30/2026, 3:41:46 AM6 trades$5,1132 min
6/29/2026, 1:28:34 PM57 trades$4,2591 min
6/12/2026, 1:41:55 PM13 trades$4,2392 min
6/1/2026, 2:07:50 PM13 trades$4,1845 min
6/29/2026, 1:39:31 PM68 trades$3,9401 min
6/15/2026, 1:12:12 AM2 trades$3,4050 min
6/26/2026, 2:32:40 AM24 trades$3,2140 min
4/30/2026, 1:34:54 AM3 trades$3,0410 min
6/8/2026, 6:28:24 PM5 trades$3,0112 min
6/13/2026, 4:14:36 AM17 trades$2,7960 min
6/28/2026, 11:27:17 PM3 trades$2,7100 min
6/8/2026, 10:50:03 PM2 trades$2,5220 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-27
05-07
05-29
06-11
06-18
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.6 / M20.8 / H52.6