@sportguy234

#2,987,21952

0x209ad5a7364752b5aae8f3d4b0dd3bb86d399a8d

~29d· 48 markets · 469 tradesVol: $74,1932026-08-02 06:37:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (15/35)6.4/20
1.23x (win $5,149 / loss $4,191)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.54615/15
Sortino 2.44410/10
$+0.0332 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 943 (35 markets)7.8/10
9/17 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($1,492 / $2,124)0/10

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,601,183$-603Vol: $23,364
📈 ECONOMICS#664,938$-154Vol: $15,065
SPORTS#1,697,211$-120Vol: $13,187
CRYPTO#1,568,327$-341Vol: $8,605
💰 FINANCE#648,981$-511Vol: $7,533
💻 TECH#241,725$-42Vol: $1,407
🌤️ WEATHER#269,280$-33Vol: $726
🎭 CULTURE#730,246$-22Vol: $213

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,905
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$74,193
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
143B / 326S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Week
$-57
Vol: $0
Month
$-57
Vol: $1,416
All Time
$-1,905
Vol: $74,193

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
15W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-1,905
Win Rate
43%
15W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$343
Avg Loss
$-210

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,565 (1.8715244235373178% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1,516
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?$1,248
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$801
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$465
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$376
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$361
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$122
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?$68
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$65
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$64

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-1,166
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$-1,036
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-709
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-601
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?$-243
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-114
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-101
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$-60
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals$-45
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals$-42

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.079
Sortino
0.128
HHI
240
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
30.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 1.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)23.8%
High (>55c)73.4%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 9:38:46 PM3 trades$2,9400 min
7/7/2026, 5:38:22 AM7 trades$2,8050 min
6/14/2026, 2:11:43 AM12 trades$2,8020 min
6/18/2026, 7:11:50 PM32 trades$2,5360 min
6/11/2026, 5:16:55 AM19 trades$2,5300 min
6/24/2026, 12:15:23 AM7 trades$2,4400 min
6/19/2026, 9:04:44 PM38 trades$2,2781 min
6/16/2026, 5:26:27 AM10 trades$2,1430 min
7/1/2026, 1:31:47 AM4 trades$2,0971 min
6/24/2026, 6:49:34 PM6 trades$2,0180 min
7/23/2026, 7:10:01 AM11 trades$1,6220 min
7/6/2026, 9:06:53 PM6 trades$1,4900 min
7/8/2026, 4:21:11 PM8 trades$1,4840 min
7/11/2026, 3:07:58 AM11 trades$1,4650 min
5/24/2026, 3:37:40 PM16 trades$1,2960 min
7/13/2026, 2:37:55 PM11 trades$1,2810 min
6/11/2026, 5:11:18 AM5 trades$1,2210 min
6/29/2026, 2:22:26 PM7 trades$1,1920 min
6/18/2026, 10:27:32 AM4 trades$1,0350 min
6/9/2026, 4:57:46 AM7 trades$9820 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
05-21
05-24
05-31
06-09
06-16
06-24
06-29
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M23.8 / H73.4