@qianbei
#2,831,133310x21103440efb7e3f8c36361a80a9e30a95c1645c4
~18d· 41 markets · 331 tradesVol: $183,3702026-08-02 04:13:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
75% (18/24)20/20
0.73x (win $1,850 / loss $2,530)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5770/15
Sortino -1.7330/10
$-0.0345 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1939 (24 markets)2.8/10
7/11 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 143% of peak ($2,258 / $1,578)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 75%
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.7 entries/market
Consistent
7/11 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,585,135$-357Vol: $134,516
⚽ SPORTS#1,514,934$-29Vol: $39,790
💻 TECH#236,601$-24Vol: $3,403
💰 FINANCE#604,528$-28Vol: $2,306
₿ CRYPTO#1,379,447$-48Vol: $1,847
🎭 CULTURE#84,772$6Vol: $799
📈 ECONOMICS#22,717$32Vol: $709
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-448
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$183,370
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
209B / 122S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-448
Vol: $183,370
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
75%
18W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-448
Win Rate
75%
18W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$103
Avg Loss
$-506
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,737 (3.878050959112123% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$1,057
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$358
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$321
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$33
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$22
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$14
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?$8
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$6
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?$4
Top Losers
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-1,604
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-653
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$-127
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-100
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-45
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.079
Sortino
-0.049
HHI
902
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.1%
Top-5 markets
51.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.3m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 277s — normal for humanCV 2.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.67
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)33%
Mid (20-55c)23%
High (>55c)44%
Sessions
#124/17/2026, 3:38:14 PM38 trades$4,8301 min
7/11/2026, 10:28:59 AM5 trades$2,9050 min
7/15/2026, 7:50:41 AM15 trades$1,5790 min
11/6/2025, 11:18:55 AM5 trades$9003 min
1/30/2026, 5:16:10 PM4 trades$8711 min
1/15/2026, 5:32:02 PM5 trades$8042 min
7/2/2026, 12:48:34 PM4 trades$7951 min
3/25/2026, 4:00:13 PM5 trades$6872 min
7/15/2026, 3:33:56 PM2 trades$6090 min
12/4/2025, 3:54:51 PM5 trades$5881 min
4/17/2026, 7:36:14 AM4 trades$5830 min
6/21/2026, 6:57:47 AM11 trades$5421 min
7/15/2026, 3:47:53 PM12 trades$4765 min
7/15/2026, 12:41:34 PM3 trades$4560 min
2/27/2026, 3:01:00 AM3 trades$4451 min
7/15/2026, 12:53:34 PM3 trades$4011 min
4/17/2026, 9:43:34 AM3 trades$3972 min
7/2/2026, 4:13:55 AM4 trades$3882 min
7/2/2026, 3:57:40 AM1 trades$3660 min
5/19/2026, 2:29:45 AM5 trades$3451 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
12-04
01-15
01-30
02-27
03-25
04-17
05-19
06-21
07-02
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33 / M23 / H44