@JanusApprentice

#9,43183

0x21c05d98ae75cc7a4798022fe8d0bc6554664827

~38d· 103 markets · 472 tradesVol: $125,8222026-08-02 05:21:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (43/72)14.9/20
32.69x (win $34,689 / loss $1,061)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.15015/15
Sortino 402.76810/10
$+0.7337 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1557 (72 markets)4.7/10
10/23 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($442 / $33,628)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+16,243
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#2,516$16,864Vol: $56,966
SPORTS#1,798,151$-536Vol: $55,416
💰 FINANCE#15,963$127Vol: $6,720
💻 TECH#253,550$-295Vol: $3,203
📈 ECONOMICS#646,339$-49Vol: $2,288
🎭 CULTURE#17,652$132Vol: $1,114
CRYPTO#454,338$1Vol: $114

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,243
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$125,822
Total Redeem
$1,330
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
103
total markets
Trades
260B / 212S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$100
Vol: $0
Week
$-197
Vol: $0
Month
$209
Vol: $0
All Time
$16,243
Vol: $125,822

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
43W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$16,243
Win Rate
60%
43W / 29L
Profit Factor
32.69x
Avg Win
$807
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33,555 (2.065863515134202% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$33,021
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$306
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$228
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$170
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$158
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?$138
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$52
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$43
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$41

Top Losers

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$-200
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-151
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$-100
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$-100
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?$-78
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?$-52
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?$-50
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$-50
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$-40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$-39

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.212
Sortino
20.970
HHI
456
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.218
Kelly %
49.6%
Half-Kelly
24.8%
Top-1 market
18%
Top-5 markets
38%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 2.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.5%
Mid (20-55c)28.1%
High (>55c)43.5%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 9:53:02 PM70 trades$23,9857 min
4/22/2026, 8:19:02 PM86 trades$10,9597 min
7/11/2026, 7:51:01 PM29 trades$6,6375 min
4/10/2026, 8:20:39 AM54 trades$4,7733 min
6/25/2026, 1:26:32 PM17 trades$4,3912 min
1/12/2026, 7:50:41 PM29 trades$4,12520 min
8/4/2025, 2:11:50 PM26 trades$4,00015 min
4/19/2026, 8:28:24 AM35 trades$3,5022 min
4/13/2026, 6:05:21 PM8 trades$2,4480 min
4/7/2026, 11:45:07 AM28 trades$1,33412 min
4/15/2026, 9:16:58 PM8 trades$1,1830 min
4/8/2026, 4:38:59 PM16 trades$1,0035 min
7/14/2026, 9:58:34 AM10 trades$3700 min
1/16/2026, 9:38:16 AM3 trades$3201 min
8/6/2025, 5:25:22 PM4 trades$2702 min
8/26/2025, 1:18:05 AM2 trades$2141 min
6/30/2026, 5:35:02 AM2 trades$2080 min
1/16/2025, 3:50:07 AM1 trades$2000 min
12/30/2025, 2:57:45 PM2 trades$2001 min
6/30/2026, 12:29:14 AM2 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
02-18
08-07
09-04
02-28
04-10
04-22
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 255 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.5 / M28.1 / H43.5