nikson8

@nikson8

#7,62058

0x21f52494cdecc2b9ba03aad69f57c87ae798c161

~101d· 789 markets · 5246 tradesVol: $1,793,2382026-08-02 06:54:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (331/788)6/20
1.14x (win $397,126 / loss $347,621)4.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.67415/15
Sortino 2.75210/10
$+0.0862 per $1 invested4.3/10
HHI 49 (788 markets)10/10
45/93 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($36,663 / $73,950)4.1/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+20,608
Contrarian
75% entries < $0.55
Whale
$574,247 invested
High Roller
$3,567/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#3,596$15,570Vol: $1,420,245
🏛️ POLITICS#15,152$1,304Vol: $93,377
CRYPTO#1,651,682$-2,408Vol: $54,041
💰 FINANCE#2,611$1,778Vol: $24,237
🎭 CULTURE#84,579$6Vol: $11,659
💻 TECH#254,482$-400Vol: $2,665

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,608
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,793,238
Total Redeem
$42,012
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
789
total markets
Trades
1510B / 3736S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~101d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,287
Vol: $23,279
Week
$361
Vol: $23,279
Month
$-6,717
Vol: $34,499
All Time
$20,608
Vol: $1,793,238

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
331W / 457L events
Realized PnL
$20,608
Win Rate
42%
331W / 457L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$1,200
Avg Loss
$-769

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $60,896 (2.9549053907499108% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Knicks$33,673
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?$16,221
Argentina leading at halftime?$11,001
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals$9,113
Spread: United States (-1.5)$6,696
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score$6,108
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-10?$5,568
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$5,460
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: Both Teams to Score$5,355
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?$4,720

Top Losers

Germany leading at halftime?$-6,600
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 1.5$-6,000
FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Baník Ostrava: Both Teams to Score$-5,455
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$-5,194
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-5,154
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-5,000
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?$-4,948
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Kōchi United SC: Both Teams to Score$-4,400
Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-08-01?$-4,360
Thunder vs. Lakers$-4,222

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.087
Sortino
0.129
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.087
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 369s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency4.9 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.63
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.1%
Mid (20-55c)56.6%
High (>55c)25.4%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 5:55:45 AM31 trades$22,7412 min
6/23/2026, 7:03:32 PM90 trades$19,1681 min
7/28/2026, 1:39:18 AM2 trades$17,5080 min
4/8/2026, 2:09:31 PM6 trades$17,0340 min
6/11/2026, 2:15:42 AM2 trades$16,6670 min
5/24/2026, 4:28:39 PM14 trades$16,3110 min
5/16/2026, 9:13:21 PM186 trades$14,6546 min
5/24/2026, 10:06:56 AM2 trades$11,2220 min
6/20/2026, 2:31:58 AM7 trades$11,1381 min
6/11/2026, 1:42:25 AM16 trades$10,9250 min
6/18/2026, 11:51:04 PM20 trades$10,8434 min
5/17/2026, 11:19:13 AM49 trades$10,6208 min
6/17/2026, 12:10:47 AM12 trades$10,4150 min
6/13/2026, 12:20:43 AM10 trades$10,3823 min
5/24/2026, 12:26:13 PM2 trades$10,2020 min
5/16/2026, 4:02:05 PM9 trades$10,1651 min
6/20/2026, 1:11:14 AM4 trades$9,8860 min
4/25/2026, 2:53:40 PM37 trades$9,6376 min
6/23/2026, 4:02:32 PM20 trades$9,5932 min
5/16/2026, 9:50:32 AM204 trades$9,2195 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-23
03-19
04-09
04-26
05-15
06-08
07-28
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.63/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18.1 / M56.6 / H25.4