@dmkn

#2,879,7656

0x23b84906350f74f7928166aeed054b2f13a4c81f

~21d· 20 markets · 58 tradesVol: $16,9582026-08-02 05:12:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (3/18)0/20
0.25x (win $232 / loss $929)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.3180/15
Sortino -8.1470/10
$-0.3222 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1320 (18 markets)5.9/10
3/14 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 666% of peak ($821 / $123)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
81% entries < $0.55

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-660
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,958
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
31B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
3W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-660
Win Rate
17%
3W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $232 (0.351351760926229% of PnL)

Top Winners

Gold missing from Fort Knox?$130
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$100
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$2

Top Losers

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$-287
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?$-188
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$-142
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?$-125
Was JFK assassination an inside job?$-75
Obama federally charged in 2025?$-52
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$-18
Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government? $-12
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?$-10
Will Trump say "Switzerland" this week? (January 18)$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.420
Sortino
-0.462
HHI
995
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.350
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.6%
Top-5 markets
63.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 118s — normal for humanCV 1.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.6%
Mid (20-55c)58.1%
High (>55c)19.4%

Sessions

#12
2/17/2025, 9:10:34 PM2 trades$6381 min
7/20/2026, 9:07:01 PM10 trades$5450 min
2/19/2025, 10:14:11 PM1 trades$4490 min
5/28/2026, 6:18:06 PM7 trades$3480 min
3/6/2025, 9:36:47 PM2 trades$3360 min
2/17/2025, 5:22:39 PM1 trades$3230 min
2/21/2025, 9:39:03 PM4 trades$2503 min
2/28/2025, 2:07:36 AM1 trades$2140 min
3/6/2025, 9:30:45 PM1 trades$2140 min
2/19/2025, 10:22:35 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/18/2025, 10:11:40 AM2 trades$1432 min
2/14/2025, 10:19:32 PM3 trades$1033 min
2/15/2025, 2:31:06 PM1 trades$1000 min
2/26/2025, 10:38:10 AM2 trades$981 min
1/19/2026, 12:33:46 AM1 trades$680 min
7/23/2025, 3:32:07 PM1 trades$520 min
7/20/2026, 9:13:28 PM2 trades$520 min
2/6/2026, 9:53:51 PM1 trades$400 min
2/10/2025, 7:52:23 AM3 trades$294 min
1/17/2026, 12:34:12 AM1 trades$290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
02-17
02-21
02-28
03-19
01-17
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 463 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.44/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.6 / M58.1 / H19.4