@niglette

#3,038,20611

0x23ed02fdee555e7a7790f9ce79efccebf9dfaebc

~139d· 2842 markets · 8975 tradesVol: $1,457,5252026-08-02 08:04:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

9% (191/2123)0/20
0.63x (win $7,189 / loss $11,455)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5590/15
Sortino -2.8630/10
$-0.1990 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 190 (2123 markets)10/10
45/130 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($5,301 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
93% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
9% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,609,915$-892Vol: $739,359
🌤️ WEATHER#256,524$-17Vol: $220,511
🎭 CULTURE#813,716$-1,445Vol: $173,783
💰 FINANCE#74,567$5Vol: $106,852
⚽ SPORTS#1,846,460$-1,658Vol: $53,654
📈 ECONOMICS#48,157$8Vol: $51,900
₿ CRYPTO#1,572,682$-369Vol: $44,369
📢 MENTIONS#170,562$-276Vol: $36,374
💻 TECH#246,813$-82Vol: $10,206

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,850
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,457,525
Total Redeem
$446
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2842
total markets
Trades
8154B / 821S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~139d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$-321
Vol: $0
Month
$-47
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,850
Vol: $1,457,525

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
9%
191W / 1932L events
Realized PnL
$-4,850
Win Rate
9%
191W / 1932L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,399 (0.4946571811526962% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$847
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 23?$811
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?$741
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?$429
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?$334
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?$299
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$197
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$176
Will Apple TV announce a new project at SDCC 2026?$166
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$161

Top Losers

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?$-2,132
Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-13?$-500
Brewers vs. Dodgers$-200
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?$-200
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$-183
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?$-150
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)$-130
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)$-100
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5$-100
Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Score$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.133
Sortino
-0.128
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.219
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.7
Active
Markets / Day
10.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.3m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 183s — normal for humanCV 7.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency10 markets/day — mass coverage86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)92.9%
Mid (20-55c)2%
High (>55c)5.1%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 9:25:13 PM27 trades$4,00010 min
4/1/2026, 4:30:15 AM8 trades$3,6620 min
4/1/2026, 9:30:15 PM4 trades$3,2610 min
4/1/2026, 4:00:07 PM17 trades$3,02015 min
4/1/2026, 4:30:19 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
4/1/2026, 7:00:15 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
4/3/2026, 12:00:13 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
4/2/2026, 4:10:11 PM8 trades$1,9200 min
4/4/2026, 12:56:49 AM5 trades$1,5014 min
4/3/2026, 2:50:09 PM4 trades$1,5005 min
4/3/2026, 10:30:11 AM6 trades$1,1290 min
7/14/2026, 8:51:25 PM265 trades$1,1252 min
12/5/2025, 12:38:15 PM3 trades$1,1218 min
4/3/2026, 5:00:15 PM13 trades$1,0079 min
4/3/2026, 2:05:13 PM6 trades$1,0065 min
3/31/2026, 2:51:57 PM5 trades$1,00213 min
4/3/2026, 9:30:13 PM7 trades$1,0010 min
4/2/2026, 12:50:11 PM4 trades$1,0012 min
4/1/2026, 12:00:15 PM4 trades$1,0003 min
4/1/2026, 2:00:15 PM2 trades$1,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-10
12-07
03-14
04-06
05-28
06-20
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.9 / M2 / H5.1