@laoye2026

#2,808,58218

0x24b18de798884b7427ca29802d387950b1b5aaf1

~37d· 8644 markets · 9711 tradesVol: $150,8792026-08-02 00:46:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (2945/8644)2/20
0.97x (win $12,977 / loss $13,336)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7490/15
Sortino -4.2460/10
$-0.0157 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2 (8644 markets)10/10
16/35 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 534% of peak ($441 / $83)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,568,899$-346Vol: $148,023
SPORTS#1,037,308$-2Vol: $2,161
🌤️ WEATHER#255,134$-16Vol: $380
🏛️ POLITICS#1,283,408$-10Vol: $314

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-374
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$150,879
Total Redeem
$305
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8644
total markets
Trades
8021B / 1690S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
2945W / 5699L events
Realized PnL
$-374
Win Rate
34%
2945W / 5699L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150 (0.4013909321920556% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$58
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8PM ET$56
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$36
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$36
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$33
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$30
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$30
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$28
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$26

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.193
Sortino
-0.205
HHI
2
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.3%
Top-5 markets
0.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
110.4
Very active
Markets / Day
98.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
65 min
Avg Trades / Session
57.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 228s — normal for humanCV 0.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock110 trades/day — automation98 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.12
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.8%
Mid (20-55c)38.9%
High (>55c)20.3%

Sessions

#12
3/7/2026, 7:00:11 PM177 trades$876220 min
3/8/2026, 9:05:11 AM143 trades$708175 min
3/8/2026, 2:10:43 PM143 trades$708129 min
3/8/2026, 11:32:57 PM124 trades$613130 min
3/8/2026, 4:45:13 AM107 trades$531135 min
3/8/2026, 12:25:39 PM84 trades$41674 min
3/7/2026, 10:45:19 PM80 trades$39695 min
3/8/2026, 5:10:23 PM80 trades$39670 min
3/8/2026, 9:10:47 PM71 trades$35176 min
3/10/2026, 9:58:55 AM71 trades$35187 min
3/8/2026, 3:25:23 AM64 trades$31775 min
3/9/2026, 8:16:29 PM60 trades$29784 min
3/10/2026, 7:45:29 PM60 trades$29780 min
3/8/2026, 12:26:09 AM59 trades$29270 min
3/10/2026, 9:31:11 PM58 trades$28775 min
3/8/2026, 7:57:15 PM53 trades$26254 min
3/7/2026, 5:35:07 PM50 trades$24860 min
3/8/2026, 7:05:05 AM48 trades$23855 min
3/11/2026, 8:05:39 PM95 trades$227120 min
3/10/2026, 10:51:15 PM43 trades$21354 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
03-03
03-08
03-13
04-10
04-27
05-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.8 / M38.9 / H20.3