TrevorJones3

@TrevorJones3

#2,960,79819

0x2517ffdd702d8b42e3da0304ecbc459dc65e065d

~40d· 63 markets · 1274 tradesVol: $538,6432026-08-02 05:09:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (29/60)9.2/20
0.34x (win $9,615 / loss $28,340)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6870/15
Sortino -3.8630/10
$-0.2179 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 778 (60 markets)8.6/10
9/26 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 320% of peak ($27,911 / $8,722)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 20.7 entries/market
Whale
$85,950 invested
High Roller
$1,211/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,411$-3,867Vol: $281,948
CRYPTO#16,167$2,724Vol: $217,938
SPORTS#1,820,499$-885Vol: $30,029
🎭 CULTURE#6,995$605Vol: $8,728

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,423
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$538,643
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
222B / 1052S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Week
$2,570
Vol: $0
Month
$1,278
Vol: $112,627
All Time
$-1,423
Vol: $538,643

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
29W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-1,423
Win Rate
48%
29W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$332
Avg Loss
$-1,350

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,053 (6.362548232697728% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6,493
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,297
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$1,263
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$55
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$40

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-14,567
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-10,589
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-1,097
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-677
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-284
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-221
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-193
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-124
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-120
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$-86

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.189
Sortino
-0.152
HHI
882
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.218
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.3%
Top-5 markets
61.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 441s — normal for humanCV 2.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.73
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.6%
Mid (20-55c)7.2%
High (>55c)53.2%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 6:44:56 PM5 trades$19,0001 min
6/17/2026, 6:31:28 PM9 trades$16,0047 min
6/14/2026, 4:49:55 AM14 trades$11,8230 min
6/18/2026, 2:06:38 AM2 trades$9,0000 min
5/31/2026, 11:22:14 PM9 trades$6,9520 min
7/20/2026, 3:14:06 PM2 trades$6,8010 min
5/24/2026, 1:43:37 PM5 trades$6,1860 min
6/17/2026, 5:50:40 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/17/2026, 7:14:05 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/3/2026, 11:50:06 PM4 trades$4,4042 min
6/1/2026, 9:13:17 PM2 trades$4,2550 min
6/3/2026, 4:36:25 PM2 trades$4,2550 min
5/24/2026, 1:33:47 PM13 trades$4,2170 min
6/7/2026, 7:59:51 PM10 trades$4,1104 min
5/24/2026, 3:32:26 PM6 trades$4,0680 min
5/24/2026, 8:41:12 PM2 trades$4,0660 min
6/8/2026, 7:58:37 PM11 trades$4,0665 min
6/10/2026, 4:12:15 PM24 trades$3,8147 min
5/31/2026, 11:38:57 PM2 trades$3,5000 min
6/16/2026, 6:11:22 PM2 trades$3,4000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
06-07
06-14
06-22
07-12
07-26
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
82.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.6 / M7.2 / H53.2