@0x251B45a349933B77E0619700F89A8db66E76cf04-1774346129293

#2,403,2187

0x251b45a349933b77e0619700f89a8db66e76cf04

~44d· 469 markets · 1164 tradesVol: $27,2702026-08-02 07:38:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (112/457)0/20
0.97x (win $686 / loss $709)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4270/15
Sortino -0.9570/10
$-0.0261 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1861 (457 markets)3.2/10
14/40 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 140% of peak ($137 / $98)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
85% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#71,842$80Vol: $11,617
🌤️ WEATHER#282,185$-83Vol: $11,079
🎭 CULTURE#714,990$-17Vol: $1,842
💰 FINANCE#418,738$-0Vol: $1,120
⚽ SPORTS#1,522,312$-30Vol: $306
₿ CRYPTO#1,058,014$-6Vol: $192
📈 ECONOMICS#507,372$-2Vol: $87
📢 MENTIONS#82,865$-1Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-59
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,270
Total Redeem
$7
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
469
total markets
Trades
566B / 598S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $16
All Time
$-59
Vol: $27,270

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
112W / 345L events
Realized PnL
$-59
Win Rate
25%
112W / 345L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $201 (3.407081145180417% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$162
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?$21
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?$19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?$18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 10?$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?$10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?$10
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?$9

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?$-20
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 7?$-14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-14
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$-12
Will France win Eurovision 2026?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?$-12
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 5?$-10
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.022
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
7.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.1
Active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
53.7m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity12 trades/day — very active4.9 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.3%
Mid (20-55c)62%
High (>55c)14.7%

Sessions

#12
4/14/2026, 8:07:03 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/23/2026, 2:18:02 AM8 trades$2,0042 min
5/5/2026, 5:27:04 AM59 trades$1,49217 min
4/23/2026, 7:50:50 AM4 trades$1,0022 min
4/16/2026, 3:27:38 PM37 trades$2885 min
5/11/2026, 6:38:08 PM8 trades$2531 min
5/2/2026, 5:01:28 AM35 trades$18016 min
5/12/2026, 11:21:37 AM2 trades$1720 min
5/2/2026, 6:05:48 AM34 trades$16316 min
5/10/2026, 7:35:44 AM74 trades$15925 min
5/5/2026, 11:14:24 AM33 trades$14114 min
5/2/2026, 6:27:28 AM18 trades$1341 min
5/2/2026, 5:23:44 AM20 trades$1187 min
5/13/2026, 7:10:32 AM22 trades$10910 min
6/25/2026, 3:06:04 AM8 trades$862 min
4/18/2026, 5:08:26 AM13 trades$822 min
5/3/2026, 7:05:22 PM11 trades$742 min
7/16/2026, 2:43:02 AM7 trades$680 min
6/7/2026, 9:15:46 AM42 trades$667 min
5/6/2026, 4:35:18 AM8 trades$633 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-20
04-28
05-06
05-15
06-10
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
76% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.41/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.3 / M62 / H14.7