@mosul

#2,331,1572

0x2542167c01e61f5d8152137421dacb08f33393fb

~22d· 27 markets · 75 tradesVol: $84,2982026-08-02 05:24:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (4/24)0/20
0.04x (win $2 / loss $46)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.7480/15
Sortino -7.9610/10
$-0.0054 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2041 (24 markets)2.3/10
2/14 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($45 / $0)0/10

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,463,761$-20Vol: $41,483
🏛️ POLITICS#1,385,300$-22Vol: $22,674
💰 FINANCE#546,744$-5Vol: $19,845
🎭 CULTURE#454,980$-0Vol: $295

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-47
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$84,298
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
40B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-47
Vol: $84,298

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
4W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-47
Win Rate
17%
4W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.04362558238034731% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?$1
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$0

Top Losers

Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?$-20
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.441
Sortino
-0.402
HHI
1431
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26%
Top-5 markets
73.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.3m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)75%

Sessions

#12
11/13/2024, 7:43:37 PM29 trades$9,9056 min
8/28/2024, 12:44:02 PM3 trades$1,3801 min
6/16/2026, 1:01:55 AM4 trades$6180 min
2/12/2026, 4:28:43 AM2 trades$5810 min
6/22/2026, 6:50:04 PM1 trades$3100 min
4/22/2026, 11:59:36 AM2 trades$3090 min
1/15/2026, 10:52:34 AM1 trades$2950 min
3/2/2026, 7:34:05 PM1 trades$2880 min
11/16/2025, 12:05:38 PM2 trades$2100 min
12/15/2025, 1:42:23 AM2 trades$1250 min
10/20/2025, 2:50:27 PM1 trades$1050 min
12/11/2025, 10:39:43 AM1 trades$1050 min
12/14/2025, 8:13:47 PM3 trades$770 min
12/14/2025, 9:40:05 AM1 trades$720 min
9/2/2024, 5:42:13 AM8 trades$202 min
6/22/2025, 7:35:48 AM2 trades$190 min
2/2/2025, 9:20:25 AM2 trades$190 min
4/17/2025, 1:37:34 PM2 trades$190 min
8/20/2025, 9:11:02 AM2 trades$180 min
12/14/2025, 8:26:51 PM1 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-28
11-04
12-07
02-02
06-22
11-16
03-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25 / M0 / H75