@dwseaw

#2,316,00137

0x255c48cf5aa7c26b573e62cc60107dcb20ad16df

~93d· 154 markets · 716 tradesVol: $22,7942026-08-02 06:40:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (77/124)16/20
0.93x (win $142 / loss $153)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2310/15
Sortino -0.3960/10
$-0.0015 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 155 (124 markets)10/10
27/41 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 113% of peak ($95 / $84)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Consistent
27/41 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#33,099$4Vol: $5,635

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-45
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,794
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
154
total markets
Trades
435B / 281S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
77W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-45
Win Rate
62%
77W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $123 (2.733719892952721% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?$76
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?$33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$14
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on May 6?$3
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 6?$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1

Top Losers

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$-64
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$-36
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?$-24
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$-9
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$-4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$-4
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$-3
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-1
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.012
Sortino
-0.013
HHI
109
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
15.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1260s — normal for humanCV 1.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.5%
Mid (20-55c)3%
High (>55c)77.5%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 11:51:22 AM18 trades$7725 min
6/9/2026, 12:14:30 PM14 trades$7306 min
5/6/2026, 2:32:44 PM10 trades$4261 min
5/6/2026, 7:50:50 AM16 trades$41911 min
5/6/2026, 11:08:52 AM3 trades$2713 min
3/20/2026, 7:35:01 AM15 trades$26914 min
4/14/2026, 8:06:03 AM21 trades$2675 min
4/3/2026, 11:42:53 AM23 trades$2577 min
4/17/2026, 3:48:12 AM19 trades$2526 min
4/10/2026, 7:33:27 AM22 trades$2515 min
3/27/2026, 2:49:19 AM11 trades$2517 min
4/7/2026, 8:12:21 AM19 trades$2468 min
2/24/2026, 6:00:32 AM11 trades$24413 min
5/12/2026, 1:34:47 AM5 trades$2290 min
4/22/2026, 1:47:22 PM19 trades$2266 min
3/31/2026, 6:50:29 AM10 trades$2106 min
2/16/2026, 8:23:19 AM8 trades$20911 min
3/24/2026, 5:42:05 AM9 trades$2029 min
6/12/2026, 12:22:03 PM30 trades$2000 min
3/3/2026, 6:57:07 AM8 trades$1974 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-10
02-24
03-18
03-31
04-22
05-07
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.5 / M3 / H77.5