JIGSAW

@JIGSAW

#1,631,6117

0x2638db8db401298ed79aeab934b8cce44faebbbd

~10d· 48 markets · 168 tradesVol: $65,163 @JIGSAW_eth2026-08-02 07:56:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

4% (2/48)0/20
0.19x (win $77 / loss $404)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.7760/15
Sortino -7.3390/10
$-0.3942 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1155 (48 markets)6.7/10
1/8 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($328 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
SPORTS#249,543$15Vol: $58,583
📈 ECONOMICS#635,181$-28Vol: $6,571
🎭 CULTURE#76,475$8Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$65,163
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
85B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
4%
2W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
4%
2W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $77 (14.466037735849058% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$69
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?$8

Top Losers

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-298
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$-40
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$-10
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$-10
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-10
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$-8
Will the winner of the Bolivia/Iraq/Suriname playoff win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.381
Sortino
-0.356
HHI
1444
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.394
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25%
Top-5 markets
76%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
25s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 25s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)29.4%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 11:37:03 PM2 trades$8300 min
6/22/2026, 11:05:56 PM4 trades$5602 min
6/11/2026, 2:01:03 PM68 trades$46617 min
6/20/2026, 12:38:11 PM38 trades$4348 min
6/9/2026, 5:45:15 PM10 trades$3662 min
6/14/2026, 5:26:07 PM7 trades$2849 min
7/1/2026, 6:29:34 PM2 trades$2170 min
6/9/2026, 11:26:55 PM7 trades$1592 min
7/1/2026, 6:44:31 PM2 trades$1090 min
7/1/2026, 7:02:32 PM2 trades$980 min
6/23/2026, 12:07:16 AM6 trades$545 min
7/1/2026, 9:54:53 PM4 trades$212 min
1/22/2025, 3:24:53 PM2 trades$200 min
6/9/2026, 5:01:42 PM2 trades$160 min
1/22/2025, 3:31:13 PM2 trades$94 min
6/14/2026, 5:57:25 PM2 trades$50 min
6/10/2026, 3:15:46 AM1 trades$40 min
6/14/2026, 5:41:06 PM3 trades$20 min
7/4/2026, 12:04:52 AM2 trades$20 min
6/9/2026, 11:56:25 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
06-09
06-11
06-14
06-20
06-23
07-01
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.2 / M2.4 / H29.4