@openelon
#2,830,666520x26515263808c36411bd42f5c513de8b57b801b4e
~44d· 468 markets · 4482 tradesVol: $1,166,3662026-08-02 05:35:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (179/440)5.3/20
1.34x (win $1,702 / loss $1,266)6.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.18715/15
Sortino 3.66610/10
$+0.0502 per $1 invested2.5/10
HHI 369 (440 markets)10/10
16/41 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($314 / $436)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
94% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders
Categories
9🌤️ WEATHER#285,888$-113Vol: $410,893
🎭 CULTURE#28,528$57Vol: $245,344
⚽ SPORTS#1,641,599$-75Vol: $182,319
₿ CRYPTO#1,420,680$-67Vol: $171,454
🏛️ POLITICS#1,548,742$-153Vol: $121,771
💰 FINANCE#614,519$-44Vol: $6,319
📈 ECONOMICS#631,919$-24Vol: $4,217
📢 MENTIONS#40,378$1Vol: $3,500
💻 TECH#196,976$-2Vol: $200
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-446
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,166,366
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
468
total markets
Trades
3124B / 1358S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-446
Vol: $1,166,366
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
179W / 261L events
Realized PnL
$-446
Win Rate
41%
179W / 261L
Profit Factor
1.34x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $404 (0.9058834084740821% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$165
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$124
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$116
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$111
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$111
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$107
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$98
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$72
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$56
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-198
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-174
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$-156
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$-103
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$-98
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$-77
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$-73
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$-33
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$-23
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.113
Sortino
0.158
HHI
393
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
35%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
46.2
Active
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.4m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 9.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock46 trades/day — high frequency4.8 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.86
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)93.6%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)4%
Sessions
#124/2/2026, 10:47:17 AM94 trades$18,50814 min
4/9/2026, 3:58:23 PM23 trades$1,17415 min
4/20/2026, 6:56:32 AM4 trades$6602 min
4/1/2026, 3:17:31 PM8 trades$5010 min
4/16/2026, 12:17:44 PM7 trades$4709 min
4/1/2026, 12:55:37 PM22 trades$4565 min
4/18/2026, 4:54:10 PM7 trades$3220 min
4/20/2026, 1:57:18 PM5 trades$3130 min
4/20/2026, 8:03:30 AM5 trades$3082 min
4/16/2026, 7:38:40 AM8 trades$2987 min
4/19/2026, 8:38:28 PM9 trades$2895 min
4/21/2026, 6:56:26 PM4 trades$2592 min
4/15/2026, 11:51:06 AM6 trades$2573 min
4/20/2026, 4:23:32 AM6 trades$2470 min
4/16/2026, 10:06:26 AM4 trades$2334 min
4/18/2026, 6:33:16 PM3 trades$2280 min
4/19/2026, 8:13:54 AM6 trades$2255 min
4/13/2026, 12:52:39 PM8 trades$1924 min
4/19/2026, 2:02:28 PM8 trades$1870 min
4/18/2026, 9:46:18 PM8 trades$1755 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
04-07
04-13
04-19
04-25
05-04
06-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.86/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L93.6 / M2.4 / H4