@seasonedsusan
460x26755d052a3676c8d2a611eb492b94857f2c5bf9
~82d· 193 markets · 2240 trades2026-08-02 07:58:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (99/181)12.3/20
1.10x (win $15,877 / loss $14,409)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.55810.5/15
Sortino 0.8758.7/10
$+0.0253 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 2189 (181 markets)1.6/10
39/65 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($5,322 / $6,219)0/10
Badges
5Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 11.5 entries/market
Whale
$57,968 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,577
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,968
Total Redeem
$421
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
193
total markets
Trades
826B / 1414S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
99W / 82L events
Realized PnL
$-5,577
Win Rate
55%
99W / 82L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-192
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,091 (1.2714172758225621% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3,715
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$2,528
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$848
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$711
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$539
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$446
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$434
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$376
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$299
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$265
Top Losers
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$-2,217
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$-1,813
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-1,646
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-808
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-725
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-616
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-607
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-521
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-494
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$-413
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.029
Sortino
0.035
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
19.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.1
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.54
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18.2%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)49.8%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 8:34:48 PM10 trades$22,1144 min
4/28/2026, 2:06:20 AM4 trades$21,0960 min
4/28/2026, 11:22:50 PM2 trades$20,0000 min
4/27/2026, 9:28:26 PM2 trades$16,6670 min
4/27/2026, 7:12:48 PM36 trades$8,11712 min
4/27/2026, 3:58:50 AM6 trades$7,5001 min
5/12/2026, 2:02:13 AM9 trades$3,7934 min
4/30/2026, 3:15:08 AM46 trades$3,4696 min
4/30/2026, 2:21:50 AM47 trades$3,37415 min
5/2/2026, 5:13:46 AM12 trades$2,4170 min
6/28/2026, 3:16:31 PM4 trades$2,3722 min
5/29/2026, 3:03:29 PM6 trades$2,0620 min
4/27/2026, 11:55:28 PM15 trades$1,9592 min
4/25/2026, 2:49:36 PM12 trades$1,7464 min
4/30/2026, 3:26:48 AM10 trades$1,6742 min
6/7/2026, 8:28:42 PM39 trades$1,5973 min
5/12/2026, 9:48:31 PM23 trades$1,5908 min
4/30/2026, 4:04:54 AM14 trades$1,5441 min
4/26/2026, 2:26:22 PM19 trades$1,4575 min
5/15/2026, 4:14:20 AM13 trades$1,33910 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
04-11
04-27
05-14
05-27
06-09
06-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.2 / M32.1 / H49.8