@aegisterra
#1,986,260610x267b7aa2c299b7f4fbdd70b0820dd6cbc81d0702
~18d· 52 markets · 343 tradesVol: $32,5682026-08-02 06:22:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (8/22)3.2/20
3.58x (win $17 / loss $5)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.72915/15
Sortino 21.92310/10
$+0.0004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1498 (22 markets)5/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 38% of peak ($5 / $12)6.4/10
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,245,884$-9Vol: $17,265
⚽ SPORTS#1,250,796$-6Vol: $12,088
💰 FINANCE#432,759$-1Vol: $2,113
📈 ECONOMICS#397,152$-0Vol: $499
🎭 CULTURE#440,619$-0Vol: $401
💻 TECH#151,867$-0Vol: $111
₿ CRYPTO#573,851$0Vol: $91
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,568
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
166B / 177S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-16
Vol: $32,568
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
8W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-16
Win Rate
36%
8W / 14L
Profit Factor
3.58x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-0
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (0.9949174078780177% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?$8
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?$1
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 23?$0
Will Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$0
Top Losers
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$-1
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-0
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-0
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-0
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$-0
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?$-0
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.336
Sortino
0.906
HHI
199
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
10.1%
Half-Kelly
5.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
28.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.4m
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 490s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)54% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.91
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)85.5%
Sessions
#124/15/2026, 7:04:46 AM4 trades$1,5440 min
6/30/2026, 12:37:19 AM5 trades$1,4760 min
6/30/2026, 1:04:32 AM8 trades$1,2810 min
4/15/2026, 5:28:02 AM8 trades$1,2790 min
6/30/2026, 12:49:52 AM2 trades$1,2700 min
7/1/2026, 12:44:35 AM3 trades$1,2700 min
7/1/2026, 12:26:40 AM2 trades$1,2590 min
6/30/2026, 1:43:53 AM2 trades$1,2360 min
6/29/2026, 3:59:28 AM2 trades$1,2310 min
6/29/2026, 3:32:43 AM2 trades$1,2130 min
6/29/2026, 4:37:49 AM2 trades$1,1890 min
6/29/2026, 2:59:29 AM2 trades$1,1880 min
6/30/2026, 11:02:22 PM2 trades$1,1870 min
6/30/2026, 1:21:53 AM2 trades$1,1860 min
6/30/2026, 12:18:23 AM2 trades$1,1810 min
6/29/2026, 4:15:08 AM2 trades$1,1610 min
6/29/2026, 3:27:02 AM2 trades$8840 min
6/30/2026, 11:35:59 PM2 trades$8470 min
4/15/2026, 4:46:44 AM2 trades$7730 min
4/14/2026, 7:26:11 AM2 trades$7570 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
03-28
04-01
04-14
04-15
05-14
06-29
07-01
07-18
07-24
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.5 / M0 / H85.5