@soapbubbles

#34,48186

0x26efdfbf3f20b86e5cf631136fb5ae598e0fa308

~19d· 22 markets · 103 tradesVol: $106,2612026-08-02 08:57:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (13/20)17.5/20
6.43x (win $2,578 / loss $401)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.97615/15
Sortino 46.79410/10
$+0.0307 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 1097 (20 markets)7/10
12/16 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($184 / $2,361)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+3,470
Whale
$70,905 invested
Consistent
12/16 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 8%

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#2,034$1,912Vol: $63,452
🏛️ POLITICS#14,750$1,363Vol: $32,662
🎭 CULTURE#36,749$36Vol: $9,244
💻 TECH#6,157$94Vol: $502
💰 FINANCE#610,609$-37Vol: $303
SPORTS#222,906$22Vol: $99

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,391
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,261
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
41B / 62S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-228
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,079
Vol: $0
Month
$-187
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,391
Vol: $106,261

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
13W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$3,470
Win Rate
65%
13W / 7L
Profit Factor
6.43x
Avg Win
$198
Avg Loss
$-67

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,992 (0.5739014416911847% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1,244
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$545
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$202
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$146
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$94
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$81
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?$67
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$56
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$54
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$40

Top Losers

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-184
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?$-84
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-64
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$-60
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $-7
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.404
Sortino
2.388
HHI
974
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
63.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 1.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.3%
Mid (20-55c)19.5%
High (>55c)73.2%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 7:34:31 PM38 trades$15,7586 min
6/17/2026, 5:41:01 PM2 trades$9,3310 min
3/31/2026, 1:56:25 PM4 trades$9,2814 min
1/30/2026, 6:49:56 PM6 trades$8,9467 min
1/12/2026, 4:15:23 PM1 trades$8,4800 min
11/11/2025, 2:43:36 PM1 trades$8,2050 min
11/1/2025, 1:43:01 AM1 trades$6,5310 min
7/10/2026, 7:28:55 PM7 trades$4,0020 min
11/24/2025, 1:39:31 PM2 trades$3,1781 min
11/21/2025, 5:28:35 PM2 trades$2,3410 min
11/24/2025, 12:26:51 PM3 trades$1,6055 min
12/9/2025, 8:41:17 AM7 trades$1,5951 min
12/1/2025, 12:12:10 AM2 trades$1,3011 min
11/21/2025, 5:35:01 PM5 trades$1,1306 min
3/30/2026, 4:50:01 PM2 trades$9480 min
12/1/2025, 9:09:02 AM1 trades$8900 min
10/31/2025, 2:50:23 PM2 trades$4881 min
11/6/2025, 10:21:05 PM1 trades$4870 min
12/5/2025, 12:36:15 PM1 trades$1970 min
12/1/2025, 5:13:24 AM1 trades$1920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-02
11-06
11-11
11-24
12-05
01-12
02-03
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.3 / M19.5 / H73.2