@taralynnbar

#14,35272

0x2aa0785974c55c3a98d0a44bb6cc159ce9a9ee01

~147d· 457 markets · 4393 tradesVol: $5,467,5732026-08-02 06:40:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (268/355)20/20
1.03x (win $137,994 / loss $134,137)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.00415/15
Sortino 4.63610/10
$+0.0032 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 1079 (355 markets)7.1/10
74/97 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($1,407 / $3,857)6.7/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+10,240
DCA Master
Avg 10.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,203,815 invested
Consistent
74/97 profitable days
High Roller
$2,681/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#1,827$2,232Vol: $3,441,669
🏛️ POLITICS#5,077$6,854Vol: $1,779,557
💰 FINANCE#4,779$828Vol: $85,107
₿ CRYPTO#42,405$517Vol: $69,153
🎭 CULTURE#40,465$30Vol: $64,482
🌤️ WEATHER#294,101$-411Vol: $1,561
💻 TECH#29,950$3Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#133,619$-12Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,240
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,467,573
Total Redeem
$3,100
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
457
total markets
Trades
2145B / 2248S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~147d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$-95
Vol: $0
Month
$-15
Vol: $0
All Time
$10,240
Vol: $5,467,573

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
268W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$10,240
Win Rate
75%
268W / 87L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$515
Avg Loss
$-1,788

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $120,762 (11.793594476346732% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$93,594
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$15,353
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$11,815
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$3,578
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$2,554
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1,758
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$1,261
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$799
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$735
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?$650

Top Losers

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$-93,467
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$-17,683
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$-13,054
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-3,634
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-2,009
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-774
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-648
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-596
Megaquake before August?$-460
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-380

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.156
Sortino
0.139
HHI
1279
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.6%
Top-5 markets
66.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.6m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 3.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.43
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22%
Mid (20-55c)10.9%
High (>55c)67.1%

Sessions

#12
5/30/2025, 3:13:37 PM51 trades$36,80447 min
6/1/2025, 7:42:01 PM38 trades$30,53238 min
5/30/2025, 6:04:51 PM7 trades$30,4033 min
6/6/2025, 10:08:22 AM4 trades$29,1753 min
5/30/2025, 8:50:22 AM8 trades$28,97010 min
5/28/2025, 8:37:19 AM56 trades$28,92444 min
5/30/2025, 8:14:22 AM4 trades$28,1703 min
6/1/2025, 9:24:23 PM16 trades$27,4557 min
6/1/2025, 11:06:27 PM13 trades$23,88711 min
5/30/2025, 2:56:23 PM8 trades$23,0068 min
6/1/2025, 10:42:03 PM18 trades$22,90011 min
4/24/2026, 6:56:10 PM63 trades$20,19811 min
5/31/2025, 9:09:03 AM4 trades$18,8235 min
5/26/2025, 7:29:07 PM46 trades$18,80760 min
1/10/2026, 3:08:16 PM42 trades$18,35033 min
1/10/2026, 2:55:14 PM1 trades$18,2240 min
6/12/2025, 11:35:05 PM2 trades$16,8645 min
6/13/2025, 11:02:37 AM4 trades$16,6312 min
6/12/2025, 8:26:29 PM2 trades$16,4754 min
6/3/2025, 1:50:00 AM1 trades$16,3060 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
06-26
09-08
01-11
02-12
04-24
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22 / M10.9 / H67.1