@0x2d2588b99f3c8ba9add5597eb2880addc5d7eafe
#2,497,66880x2d2588b99f3c8ba9add5597eb2880addc5d7eafe
~16d· 17 markets · 158 tradesVol: $11,4662026-08-02 06:22:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
31% (5/16)0.6/20
0.20x (win $85 / loss $431)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.0960/15
Sortino -9.2040/10
$-0.2144 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1068 (16 markets)7.2/10
3/12 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 595% of peak ($417 / $70)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,508,833$-91Vol: $10,470
📈 ECONOMICS#618,481$-17Vol: $575
💰 FINANCE#37,313$24Vol: $362
⚽ SPORTS#1,088,627$-2Vol: $59
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-86
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,466
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
54B / 104S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Week
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-86
Vol: $11,466
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
31%
5W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-86
Win Rate
31%
5W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-43
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $73 (0.8511849442379182% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$17
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$9
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$8
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$4
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-178
Will Trump and Putin not meet?$-72
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?$-53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-30
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$-29
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$-28
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$-16
Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?$-16
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-6
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.506
Sortino
-0.535
HHI
1266
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.226
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.9%
Top-5 markets
69.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
40.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.4h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2414s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.44
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)51.9%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)35.2%
Sessions
#126/6/2026, 9:58:45 PM5 trades$7880 min
4/21/2026, 2:58:46 PM2 trades$4700 min
4/21/2026, 7:59:56 PM4 trades$4070 min
4/19/2026, 9:17:02 PM2 trades$2830 min
4/20/2026, 5:01:42 PM3 trades$2830 min
4/30/2026, 5:35:52 AM2 trades$2370 min
6/10/2026, 10:32:03 AM11 trades$2160 min
4/22/2026, 3:30:12 PM12 trades$2140 min
4/26/2026, 6:54:28 PM8 trades$2034 min
4/22/2026, 11:11:52 AM2 trades$1880 min
4/21/2026, 3:23:40 PM2 trades$1710 min
4/22/2026, 4:24:12 PM13 trades$1662 min
4/21/2026, 11:52:48 AM5 trades$1620 min
4/29/2026, 6:26:16 AM10 trades$1450 min
4/27/2026, 4:23:48 PM3 trades$1380 min
6/7/2026, 5:08:21 PM8 trades$1340 min
4/22/2026, 12:00:34 PM6 trades$1300 min
4/20/2026, 5:42:14 PM5 trades$1190 min
4/20/2026, 7:46:34 PM6 trades$1050 min
6/11/2026, 8:37:46 PM2 trades$1040 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-20
04-22
04-26
04-29
05-10
06-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.9 / M13 / H35.2