@elkhead

#2,832,22910

0x2d3a046e9b11421144013670f96a4876ea3aad82

~7d· 473 markets · 3271 tradesVol: $42,8872026-08-02 00:46:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (120/473)0/20
0.79x (win $3,094 / loss $3,929)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.7070/15
Sortino -7.1280/10
$-0.0932 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 124 (473 markets)10/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 218% of peak ($1,543 / $707)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,581,963$-452Vol: $42,887

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-452
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,887
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
473
total markets
Trades
2005B / 1266S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
120W / 353L events
Realized PnL
$-452
Win Rate
25%
120W / 353L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $589 (1.304277589678904% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$219
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$193
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$178
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$167
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$155
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$151
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$146
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$143
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$139
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$126

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$-228
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$-185
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$-172
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-153
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$-151
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-138
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$-129
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-123
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$-118
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$-117

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.277
Sortino
-0.472
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
10.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
218.1
Very active
Markets / Day
31.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.6m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.8

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 152s — normal for humanCV 1.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock218 trades/day — automation32 markets/day — mass coverage60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.92
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.4%
Mid (20-55c)48.8%
High (>55c)17.8%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 7:52:42 PM46 trades$9838 min
4/26/2026, 2:00:14 PM31 trades$42110 min
4/26/2026, 12:20:20 AM34 trades$3611 min
4/25/2026, 5:43:36 PM23 trades$3171 min
4/28/2026, 12:30:44 AM40 trades$3136 min
4/29/2026, 10:25:30 PM28 trades$3051 min
4/25/2026, 2:57:06 AM37 trades$2995 min
4/26/2026, 8:18:00 PM25 trades$2905 min
4/27/2026, 4:16:46 PM37 trades$27519 min
4/27/2026, 1:25:44 AM29 trades$27011 min
4/26/2026, 10:19:00 AM39 trades$26512 min
4/26/2026, 6:54:04 AM38 trades$2594 min
4/25/2026, 5:29:24 PM26 trades$2576 min
4/26/2026, 9:22:18 AM35 trades$2574 min
4/27/2026, 2:47:32 PM21 trades$25415 min
4/29/2026, 7:42:48 AM26 trades$2473 min
4/25/2026, 12:11:00 AM36 trades$2413 min
4/26/2026, 2:47:44 AM38 trades$23714 min
4/27/2026, 10:46:42 AM21 trades$2307 min
4/27/2026, 5:46:54 AM36 trades$2284 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
04-26
04-27
04-28
04-29
05-08
05-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.92/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.4 / M48.8 / H17.8