@caicai888888

#3,071,30620

0x2d7be5170a8026c18709eaea1027c7f12e8ce2ce

~44d· 166 markets · 28968 tradesVol: $33,596,9142026-08-02 07:19:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (72/166)6.7/20
0.84x (win $6,148,421 / loss $7,315,438)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3920/15
Sortino -2.0490/10
$-0.0881 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 210 (166 markets)10/10
18/42 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 269% of peak ($2,570,389 / $956,345)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
78% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Whale
$13,253,718 invested
High Roller
$301,221/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,882,551$-990,004Vol: $33,596,914

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-990,004
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,596,914
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
166
total markets
Trades
28455B / 513S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
72W / 94L events
Realized PnL
$-990,004
Win Rate
43%
72W / 94L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$85,395
Avg Loss
$-78,661

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,033,044 (2.0535724105301414% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Spain (-2.5)$981,316
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$555,735
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$495,994
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$446,423
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29?$295,784
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$285,254
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$272,885
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$271,000
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$220,625
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)$211,497

Top Losers

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$-607,637
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$-481,797
Spread: Canada (-1.5)$-422,087
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-421,233
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$-416,643
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$-381,354
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$-357,036
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-277,416
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$-264,593
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-236,719

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.072
Sortino
-0.104
HHI
212
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.088
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
20.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
658.4
Very active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
38 min
Avg Trades / Session
378.7

Bot Detection

#6
85
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
63% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 9.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock658 trades/day — automation3.8 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
174.51
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)77.5%
High (>55c)21.9%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 3:14:31 PM831 trades$771,33568 min
6/24/2026, 2:28:32 PM3906 trades$411,124232 min
6/22/2026, 12:22:17 AM86 trades$384,4298 min
6/24/2026, 4:46:53 AM1006 trades$339,756267 min
6/16/2026, 12:47:36 AM30 trades$277,41610 min
5/19/2026, 1:36:58 PM27 trades$274,57923 min
6/24/2026, 6:38:22 PM235 trades$268,06621 min
6/14/2026, 4:09:28 PM190 trades$257,27824 min
6/23/2026, 11:40:22 PM2496 trades$238,084269 min
6/20/2026, 2:51:52 AM46 trades$236,7196 min
6/25/2026, 11:24:05 AM241 trades$235,2862 min
6/15/2026, 5:41:10 AM816 trades$234,82790 min
6/25/2026, 12:54:38 AM22 trades$220,0003 min
6/22/2026, 7:35:35 PM92 trades$210,00036 min
6/23/2026, 6:57:59 PM1137 trades$203,58066 min
5/17/2026, 9:40:01 AM7 trades$201,8498 min
6/18/2026, 11:48:46 AM1565 trades$197,433190 min
6/14/2026, 4:43:15 PM31 trades$196,6244 min
6/14/2026, 7:18:51 PM71 trades$196,5442 min
6/18/2026, 3:46:50 PM6 trades$196,4757 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-13
05-20
05-28
06-04
06-12
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 174.51/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L0.6 / M77.5 / H21.9