@steiner

#2,825,6739

0x2dd15107f0b6b3ff71ab747432e6bb0b76037af0

~65d· 43 markets · 1182 tradesVol: $381,5592026-08-02 09:30:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (8/35)0/20
0.32x (win $1,357 / loss $4,249)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.2140/15
Sortino -7.1670/10
$-0.4249 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 742 (35 markets)8.8/10
5/25 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 1183% of peak ($3,159 / $267)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
96% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
2% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#203,336$29Vol: $189,032
🏛️ POLITICS#97,994$42Vol: $179,303
📈 ECONOMICS#645,385$-47Vol: $6,260
🎭 CULTURE#805,323$-428Vol: $3,623
CRYPTO#1,422,883$-68Vol: $2,900
💰 FINANCE#27,480$45Vol: $440

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-427
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$381,559
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
1160B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $0
Month
$-21
Vol: $0
All Time
$-427
Vol: $381,559

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
8W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-427
Win Rate
23%
8W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$170
Avg Loss
$-157

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,067 (2.499871088714403% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$700
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$238
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$129
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90
Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?$86
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$75
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$37
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?$3

Top Losers

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,270
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-420
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-358
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-260
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-195
Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$-178
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-165
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$-150
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-130
Will the next Pope be named Francis?$-127

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.370
Sortino
-0.397
HHI
557
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.508
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.7%
Top-5 markets
38.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.8m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 568s — normal for humanCV 5.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.6
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)95.8%
Mid (20-55c)2.5%
High (>55c)1.7%

Sessions

#12
1/5/2026, 3:36:19 PM1 trades$5260 min
6/14/2026, 9:43:49 PM3 trades$5152 min
9/25/2025, 6:47:34 PM1 trades$4290 min
8/18/2025, 3:00:40 PM2 trades$4273 min
7/6/2026, 6:27:17 PM2 trades$3250 min
8/18/2025, 1:59:20 PM1 trades$3000 min
5/4/2025, 6:28:17 PM4 trades$2643 min
7/19/2026, 10:18:54 PM5 trades$2400 min
3/31/2026, 8:27:45 PM1 trades$2220 min
7/28/2026, 7:55:28 PM1 trades$2100 min
8/23/2025, 1:17:47 AM2 trades$2031 min
7/3/2026, 12:46:44 AM1 trades$2000 min
3/6/2026, 2:41:35 AM3 trades$1921 min
3/26/2026, 10:34:55 PM2 trades$1921 min
9/14/2025, 11:52:24 AM2 trades$1740 min
5/30/2026, 11:00:58 PM1 trades$1700 min
1/1/2026, 3:22:45 AM11 trades$1643 min
9/22/2025, 10:49:42 AM1 trades$1500 min
3/7/2026, 11:53:21 AM1 trades$1400 min
8/18/2025, 2:06:52 PM1 trades$1300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-04
09-14
12-27
03-07
03-31
06-14
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 317 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L95.8 / M2.5 / H1.7