@Jimmybear
#17,026180x2e423a228df8949284083adcd97b7068684a0dfe
~161d· 593 markets · 11736 tradesVol: $1,150,4012026-08-02 07:00:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
39% (221/563)4.6/20
0.49x (win $6,542 / loss $13,330)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1300/15
Sortino -3.4580/10
$-0.2551 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 234 (563 markets)10/10
49/113 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 300% of peak ($10,173 / $3,386)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+8,345
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#4,408$8,237Vol: $1,063,960
📈 ECONOMICS#636,013$-29Vol: $38,907
₿ CRYPTO#169,581$24Vol: $22,049
💰 FINANCE#33,898$29Vol: $10,165
🎭 CULTURE#27,882$60Vol: $6,339
🌤️ WEATHER#237,661$-7Vol: $5,749
⚽ SPORTS#236,256$18Vol: $2,743
💻 TECH#15,117$15Vol: $195
Overview
#1Net PnL
$8,345
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,150,401
Total Redeem
$18
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
593
total markets
Trades
8324B / 3412S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~161d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $55
Week
$-26
Vol: $55
Month
$-15
Vol: $128
All Time
$8,345
Vol: $1,150,401
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
221W / 342L events
Realized PnL
$8,345
Win Rate
39%
221W / 342L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-40
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,451 (0.2936575650744273% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,425
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$565
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?$461
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?$274
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$188
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$147
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$143
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?$140
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?$127
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$121
Top Losers
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$-2,392
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-659
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-594
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-451
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-419
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-419
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-407
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-384
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-372
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$-361
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.163
Sortino
-0.151
HHI
191
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.258
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
23.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
72.4
Very active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.0m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 360s — normal for humanCV 4.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock72 trades/day — mass trading3.7 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
20.45
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)73.3%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)20.7%
Sessions
#125/15/2026, 9:23:02 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/12/2026, 9:20:52 PM2 trades$4,9450 min
5/21/2026, 5:45:58 AM4 trades$3,0050 min
6/16/2026, 5:37:46 AM47 trades$1,92125 min
4/29/2026, 5:40:10 AM8 trades$1,8156 min
5/5/2026, 4:58:44 PM2 trades$1,7130 min
4/28/2026, 6:46:30 AM4 trades$1,1003 min
5/29/2026, 3:46:57 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/23/2026, 7:22:17 PM2 trades$9490 min
5/26/2026, 5:30:02 AM7 trades$8602 min
6/13/2026, 8:38:45 PM15 trades$8241 min
5/6/2026, 10:46:26 AM7 trades$7467 min
4/24/2026, 6:46:12 AM5 trades$7010 min
6/7/2026, 8:31:01 AM7 trades$6152 min
5/28/2026, 3:05:43 PM17 trades$5763 min
5/23/2026, 9:41:04 PM6 trades$5303 min
5/31/2026, 1:54:59 PM7 trades$5282 min
5/1/2026, 10:00:10 PM3 trades$5021 min
6/21/2026, 11:35:31 AM3 trades$5012 min
5/13/2026, 8:56:02 PM3 trades$5000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-12
03-31
04-20
05-16
06-18
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 93 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.45/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.3 / M6 / H20.7