@0x2ead25d99c31ac1928f828734ddcdcb1c8ccb256
330x2ead25d99c31ac1928f828734ddcdcb1c8ccb256
~11d· 31 markets · 241 trades2026-08-02 05:18:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
68% (21/31)18.9/20
0.43x (win $317 / loss $737)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3320/15
Sortino -4.6590/10
$-0.0049 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1742 (31 markets)3.8/10
9/11 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 2249300% of peak ($450 / $0)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 68%
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Whale
$86,500 invested
Consistent
9/11 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-613
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$86,500
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
88B / 153S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
21W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-613
Win Rate
68%
21W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-92
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $250 (0.40820353910136187% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$153
Will Solana dip to $20 in June?$51
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$45
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$34
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?$30
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0
Top Losers
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 26?$-356
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$-348
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$-13
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2AM ET$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.216
Sortino
-2.389
HHI
1779
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.9%
Top-5 markets
90.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
55.6m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 2.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.77
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)61.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)38.6%
Sessions
#126/22/2026, 11:39:59 PM49 trades$27,2291 min
6/23/2026, 12:04:05 PM8 trades$8,7680 min
6/22/2026, 2:23:02 PM4 trades$8,6700 min
6/23/2026, 12:09:16 PM2 trades$8,5800 min
6/23/2026, 12:19:01 PM62 trades$8,5800 min
6/23/2026, 12:57:49 PM2 trades$8,5200 min
6/23/2026, 11:29:44 PM2 trades$8,5200 min
12/26/2025, 12:46:31 AM1 trades$7,8610 min
12/26/2025, 2:24:25 AM13 trades$5,6415 min
6/25/2026, 4:47:28 AM4 trades$5,0000 min
6/25/2026, 5:27:07 AM4 trades$5,0000 min
12/26/2025, 2:48:43 AM1 trades$1,5850 min
6/24/2026, 10:53:41 AM6 trades$5012 min
6/23/2026, 11:55:43 PM10 trades$3302 min
6/24/2026, 3:32:13 AM4 trades$3000 min
12/26/2025, 2:41:47 AM2 trades$2801 min
6/24/2026, 12:53:10 AM2 trades$2000 min
2/10/2026, 1:28:21 AM3 trades$150 min
4/20/2026, 4:23:32 AM4 trades$131 min
6/24/2026, 11:51:04 PM3 trades$135 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
12-26
01-17
02-10
03-15
04-20
05-26
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 187 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.77/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.4 / M0 / H38.6