@btcabal

#102,85485

0x2f4ef485d193aaaa6486267e9721f5efcdd53d8d

~34d· 65 markets · 344 tradesVol: $41,9132026-08-02 04:11:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (43/54)20/20
2.38x (win $487 / loss $205)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.24115/15
Sortino 11.47110/10
$+0.0125 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 856 (54 markets)8.2/10
18/22 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 41% of peak ($116 / $282)5.8/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 80%
Profitable
PnL $+642
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Consistent
18/22 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#62,972$213Vol: $14,698
💰 FINANCE#18,058$101Vol: $14,381
🏛️ POLITICS#134,621$19Vol: $6,169
SPORTS#73,656$292Vol: $5,206
📈 ECONOMICS#33,478$15Vol: $900
💻 TECH#31,692$3Vol: $560

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$642
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,913
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
159B / 185S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $0
Week
$131
Vol: $0
Month
$31
Vol: $2,650
All Time
$642
Vol: $41,913

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
43W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$642
Win Rate
80%
43W / 11L
Profit Factor
2.38x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $215 (0.3347757058805217% of PnL)

Top Winners

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?$121
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?$52
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?$42
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?$39
World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?$37
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?$30
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?$24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$18
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?$16
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?$14

Top Losers

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?$-104
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$-60
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15
World Cup: Most Goals Record Broken?$-14
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-10
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.319
Sortino
0.274
HHI
338
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
30%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1511s — normal for humanCV 1.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.48
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)89.3%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 9:27:31 PM4 trades$5,2070 min
7/5/2026, 5:33:50 AM2 trades$1,9680 min
6/4/2026, 4:17:52 AM23 trades$1,3251 min
7/29/2026, 5:11:05 PM7 trades$1,2591 min
7/31/2026, 7:50:03 PM6 trades$1,2232 min
5/23/2026, 5:03:32 PM2 trades$1,1760 min
7/31/2026, 5:48:15 PM3 trades$1,1500 min
7/31/2026, 6:13:32 PM3 trades$1,1170 min
7/30/2026, 2:40:39 PM2 trades$1,0380 min
7/1/2026, 4:48:50 AM5 trades$8911 min
7/26/2026, 8:10:04 AM2 trades$8000 min
7/1/2026, 12:08:43 AM1 trades$7950 min
4/19/2026, 7:45:44 PM17 trades$7603 min
7/30/2026, 8:09:38 PM2 trades$7350 min
7/14/2026, 2:35:29 PM2 trades$6980 min
6/24/2026, 5:23:40 AM11 trades$6251 min
7/18/2026, 6:59:55 PM3 trades$5454 min
7/1/2026, 7:53:16 PM1 trades$5260 min
7/29/2026, 7:16:44 PM8 trades$5223 min
7/30/2026, 2:53:57 PM2 trades$5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
06-14
06-18
06-24
07-05
07-17
07-26
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.8 / M1.9 / H89.3