@jger

#111,94823

0x2fbc887a3e2c84b6370cd00f88c754d6e3e4e4ed

~37d· 37 markets · 338 tradesVol: $239,0502026-08-02 08:57:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (14/36)4.4/20
1.03x (win $25,813 / loss $25,129)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1432.7/15
Sortino 0.2352.3/10
$+0.0094 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 801 (36 markets)8.5/10
10/27 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 273% of peak ($18,878 / $6,908)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+537
Whale
$72,464 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#152,599$60Vol: $202,673
🏛️ POLITICS#27,809$477Vol: $36,377

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$537
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$239,050
Total Redeem
$17,730
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
174B / 164S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
14W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$537
Win Rate
39%
14W / 22L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$1,844
Avg Loss
$-1,197

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,419 (41.749380807836275% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Spurs$12,807
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$5,058
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$4,555
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1,453
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$659
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$533
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?$247
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$169
Fight to Go the Distance?$113
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?$72

Top Losers

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6,726
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-4,464
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-4,264
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$-3,098
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2,351
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-1,989
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?$-459
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?$-450
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$-392
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?$-244

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.007
Sortino
0.010
HHI
894
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.6%
Top-5 markets
56.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 508s — normal for humanCV 2.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.28
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.6%
Mid (20-55c)20.1%
High (>55c)67.2%

Sessions

#12
4/11/2026, 6:02:15 AM25 trades$17,5367 min
6/11/2026, 4:17:12 PM21 trades$10,8733 min
7/15/2026, 5:47:49 AM2 trades$10,5950 min
6/10/2026, 9:14:42 AM12 trades$10,3271 min
1/27/2026, 5:53:07 AM1 trades$9,9940 min
12/29/2025, 10:35:19 PM11 trades$9,81117 min
6/11/2026, 3:24:51 PM8 trades$7,9053 min
6/11/2026, 3:16:16 PM7 trades$7,0980 min
4/7/2026, 5:37:51 AM16 trades$7,0411 min
6/11/2026, 3:37:52 PM2 trades$6,7750 min
4/6/2026, 5:43:17 AM9 trades$6,0373 min
3/24/2026, 6:52:05 AM1 trades$4,3800 min
4/5/2026, 9:16:43 PM3 trades$2,4491 min
3/17/2026, 4:47:33 AM1 trades$2,4200 min
3/15/2026, 4:16:39 AM8 trades$2,1446 min
3/11/2026, 11:21:11 AM1 trades$1,5740 min
4/5/2026, 3:08:13 AM3 trades$1,5530 min
3/3/2026, 2:29:23 AM1 trades$1,3520 min
4/11/2026, 6:16:15 AM4 trades$1,3280 min
3/1/2026, 9:35:53 AM1 trades$1,2010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-21
03-06
03-18
03-26
04-07
04-28
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.6 / M20.1 / H67.2