@Osbaldeston

#81,77631

0x302b7bc926a9da1bdeeb98eaec8ed1400849190c

~7d· 9 markets · 82 tradesVol: $15,9872026-08-02 07:00:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (1/3)1.7/20
2.54x (win $991 / loss $391)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.1457 per $1 invested7.3/10
HHI 4623 (3 markets)0/10
1/3 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 39% of peak ($391 / $991)6.1/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+994

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#244,284$3Vol: $14,910

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$994
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,987
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
45B / 37S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
1W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$994
Win Rate
33%
1W / 2L
Profit Factor
2.54x
Avg Win
$991
Avg Loss
$-195

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $991 (0.9966304227562136% of PnL)

Top Winners

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?$991

Top Losers

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?$-245
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$-146

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.291
Sortino
2.876
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.729
Kelly %
24.6%
Half-Kelly
12.3%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
8.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
44.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours7/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)77.8%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 6:39:49 AM34 trades$9769 min
6/22/2026, 7:01:17 AM6 trades$9501 min
6/19/2026, 7:32:23 AM5 trades$9172 min
6/22/2026, 8:36:37 AM5 trades$9161 min
7/17/2026, 2:43:12 AM8 trades$5333 min
7/3/2026, 2:50:50 AM2 trades$4990 min
7/13/2026, 6:59:34 AM2 trades$4840 min
7/17/2026, 2:09:16 AM2 trades$4690 min
7/13/2026, 8:42:04 AM1 trades$4620 min
7/3/2026, 4:40:02 AM2 trades$4510 min
7/16/2026, 7:26:08 AM2 trades$3840 min
7/16/2026, 10:50:23 AM3 trades$3670 min
6/22/2026, 7:22:46 AM2 trades$921 min
6/12/2026, 7:15:21 AM2 trades$861 min
6/19/2026, 4:35:59 AM2 trades$670 min
6/22/2026, 5:48:01 AM2 trades$640 min
6/19/2026, 7:04:28 AM2 trades$610 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-19
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M0 / H77.8