@CastleZ

#2,710,0675

0x3036fa41adfe944c304deff606b2acc649fa2b44

~13d· 19 markets · 108 tradesVol: $33,1892026-08-02 07:55:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (1/8)0/20
0.02x (win $22 / loss $1,141)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -27.1720/15
Sortino -15.6430/10
$-0.3785 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1586 (8 markets)4.6/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 5071% of peak ($1,141 / $22)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,344,624$-16Vol: $30,714
SPORTS#1,672,927$-98Vol: $1,485

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,189
Total Redeem
$435
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
69B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
1W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-203
Win Rate
13%
1W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-163

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (0.11071744906997343% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$23

Top Losers

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$-297
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?$-297
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$-138
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?$-117
Spread: Kawkab AC (-1.5)$-105
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?$-98
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?$-89

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.317
Sortino
-1.605
HHI
342
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.892
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
34.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
49s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 49s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.25
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)49.3%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 3:00:15 AM4 trades$1,0350 min
7/23/2026, 7:06:42 AM8 trades$1,0295 min
5/11/2026, 8:16:58 AM6 trades$9901 min
6/8/2026, 6:13:55 AM4 trades$9900 min
6/10/2026, 8:48:03 AM4 trades$9900 min
7/13/2026, 6:52:17 AM6 trades$9415 min
7/25/2026, 2:24:30 AM4 trades$9400 min
7/25/2026, 3:21:27 AM4 trades$9400 min
7/23/2026, 9:30:45 AM4 trades$9300 min
7/12/2026, 9:23:34 AM6 trades$9144 min
7/3/2026, 7:36:55 AM6 trades$8986 min
7/13/2026, 7:39:23 AM4 trades$8801 min
7/12/2026, 10:02:26 AM4 trades$8700 min
7/3/2026, 8:12:52 AM4 trades$8400 min
7/4/2026, 3:01:31 AM6 trades$7800 min
4/23/2026, 4:50:06 AM2 trades$4500 min
4/23/2026, 6:30:20 AM1 trades$4280 min
4/9/2026, 6:01:09 AM2 trades$3050 min
4/11/2026, 1:51:57 AM2 trades$2983 min
5/11/2026, 8:35:54 AM2 trades$1050 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
05-11
06-08
06-10
06-11
07-03
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 72 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.7 / M0 / H49.3