@Mbtclaw

#3,068,9859

0x30cf734287bbd8bcee66c913342a39ab7861cf8e

~17d· 62 markets · 863 tradesVol: $8,581,2412026-08-02 05:19:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (21/62)1.9/20
0.41x (win $21,319 / loss $52,577)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.6480/15
Sortino -8.9990/10
$-0.3131 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1002 (62 markets)7.5/10
4/16 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($31,499 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Whale
$99,821 invested

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,880,057$-27,937Vol: $8,262,215
CRYPTO#1,672,926$-38,771Vol: $299,316
🏛️ POLITICS#11,536$2,026Vol: $19,130
💰 FINANCE#14,361$153Vol: $581

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-64,529
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,581,241
Total Redeem
$2,863
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
137B / 726S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
21W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-64,529
Win Rate
34%
21W / 41L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$1,015
Avg Loss
$-1,282

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,771 (0.16691846704323338% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?$5,200
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2,913
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$2,658
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1,623
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1,519
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1,323
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1,099
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1,032
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$896
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3?$873

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?$-9,530
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 25?$-8,940
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$-5,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$-5,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$-2,987
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 9?$-2,000
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8?$-2,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-2,000
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 8?$-2,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$-2,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.489
Sortino
-0.536
HHI
725
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.313
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15%
Top-5 markets
54%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.3m
between trades
Night Trading
51%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 196s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)51% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal3% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.92
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.6%
Mid (20-55c)43.1%
High (>55c)15.3%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 12:46:44 AM267 trades$38,6060 min
6/23/2026, 4:47:05 PM157 trades$23,1700 min
4/30/2026, 7:56:24 PM19 trades$12,2550 min
3/5/2026, 7:15:19 PM1 trades$10,0000 min
3/7/2026, 1:39:35 PM1 trades$10,0000 min
3/10/2026, 12:22:47 AM12 trades$7,9875 min
3/3/2026, 9:56:01 PM15 trades$7,39835 min
4/30/2026, 7:35:06 PM91 trades$5,0784 min
3/3/2026, 11:15:53 PM3 trades$5,0000 min
3/24/2026, 6:54:17 PM1 trades$4,9400 min
3/3/2026, 10:36:17 PM3 trades$3,7825 min
3/25/2026, 3:19:23 AM3 trades$3,0002 min
4/25/2026, 12:00:28 AM75 trades$2,6340 min
3/3/2026, 10:47:33 PM4 trades$2,3004 min
3/3/2026, 10:57:41 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
3/8/2026, 3:57:07 AM2 trades$2,0001 min
3/8/2026, 4:38:47 AM2 trades$2,0001 min
3/8/2026, 4:56:41 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
3/3/2026, 7:32:47 PM6 trades$1,77210 min
4/24/2026, 11:52:48 PM54 trades$1,5220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
03-03
03-05
03-07
03-10
04-24
04-30
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
84.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.6 / M43.1 / H15.3