@lexdpc

#50,17323

0x310e95058df69986943b149ab69326a4445d5050

~92d· 75 markets · 503 tradesVol: $216,3712026-08-02 08:56:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (35/72)9.3/20
0.50x (win $7,079 / loss $14,023)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1040/15
Sortino -3.9040/10
$-0.2059 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 571 (72 markets)9.6/10
18/38 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 235% of peak ($12,092 / $5,148)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+2,096
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,622,010$-1,688Vol: $150,257
🎭 CULTURE#6,904$629Vol: $29,538
💻 TECH#599$2,929Vol: $21,932
CRYPTO#1,548,668$-248Vol: $8,523
💰 FINANCE#6,149$570Vol: $5,843
🌤️ WEATHER#283,930$-96Vol: $279

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,096
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$216,371
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
262B / 241S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
35W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$2,096
Win Rate
49%
35W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$202
Avg Loss
$-412

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,526 (2.6365718320745444% of PnL)

Top Winners

Elon out of Trump administration before July?$4,243
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$715
South Korean President impeached in 2024?$568
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?$456
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$234
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?$166
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$127
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?$81
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?$79
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$77

Top Losers

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?$-3,671
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?$-2,210
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-1,977
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-1,568
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-1,241
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$-723
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?$-595
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$-362
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-359
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$-281

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.160
Sortino
-0.173
HHI
660
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.221
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
46.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 3.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.01
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.2%
Mid (20-55c)40.5%
High (>55c)34.4%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2025, 6:20:53 AM1 trades$5,8450 min
5/1/2025, 7:18:37 AM3 trades$2,6481 min
5/2/2025, 1:59:50 AM2 trades$2,0792 min
7/24/2026, 1:48:31 PM30 trades$2,01910 min
7/24/2026, 4:53:57 PM6 trades$1,9580 min
6/28/2026, 11:37:26 PM16 trades$1,7141 min
3/23/2025, 1:20:41 PM2 trades$1,2172 min
3/23/2025, 1:13:11 PM2 trades$1,1751 min
6/30/2026, 11:15:20 PM18 trades$1,1421 min
7/24/2026, 2:04:36 PM2 trades$1,1000 min
6/11/2025, 6:44:41 AM19 trades$1,09614 min
7/3/2026, 1:48:55 PM13 trades$9541 min
7/16/2026, 8:51:01 AM11 trades$9430 min
7/19/2025, 8:19:52 AM3 trades$9171 min
12/30/2024, 4:02:30 AM2 trades$8991 min
4/1/2025, 12:35:15 AM1 trades$8910 min
4/1/2025, 2:11:15 PM1 trades$8910 min
6/6/2025, 6:33:18 AM8 trades$7708 min
4/29/2025, 6:55:33 AM1 trades$7590 min
4/20/2026, 9:06:28 AM24 trades$7090 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
12-30
01-19
05-01
06-14
05-01
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 406 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.01/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25.2 / M40.5 / H34.4