@Thethiagoshow

#22,64868

0x319fae12252753985892dd2b949ad124eb77500b

~78d· 251 markets · 3564 tradesVol: $1,313,7752026-08-02 04:13:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (131/245)11.7/20
1.33x (win $107,526 / loss $80,780)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.78415/15
Sortino 6.20810/10
$+0.0642 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 170 (245 markets)10/10
33/63 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 39% of peak ($10,874 / $27,566)6.1/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+5,742
DCA Master
Avg 10.2 entries/market
Whale
$416,299 invested
High Roller
$3,785/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#7,063$7,005Vol: $1,062,084
🏛️ POLITICS#1,616,463$-1,176Vol: $222,781
CRYPTO#201,917$15Vol: $27,695
💰 FINANCE#631,057$-100Vol: $1,215

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,744
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,313,775
Total Redeem
$459
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
251
total markets
Trades
1317B / 2247S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d

Periods

#2
Today
$118
Vol: $4,586
Week
$-1,485
Vol: $4,586
Month
$-149
Vol: $6,902
All Time
$5,744
Vol: $1,313,775

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
131W / 114L events
Realized PnL
$5,742
Win Rate
53%
131W / 114L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$821
Avg Loss
$-792

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32,484 (5.6573266178329975% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$17,458
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11,567
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?$3,459
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24?$3,332
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$3,317
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$2,466
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5$2,107
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$2,047
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?$1,994
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1,979

Top Losers

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?$-11,121
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?$-7,646
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5$-4,160
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,192
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,927
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)$-2,571
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$-2,101
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5$-2,017
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-2,006
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5$-1,898

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.145
Sortino
0.282
HHI
97
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.085
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.7m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 123s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency2.3 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.24
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.6%
Mid (20-55c)32.5%
High (>55c)59.9%

Sessions

#12
5/25/2026, 1:27:16 AM37 trades$25,4289 min
7/18/2026, 9:42:54 PM16 trades$17,1780 min
5/20/2026, 12:06:15 AM20 trades$14,3582 min
5/31/2026, 11:26:33 PM24 trades$14,2375 min
5/19/2026, 9:23:17 PM28 trades$14,0688 min
6/10/2026, 1:47:00 PM14 trades$9,38913 min
5/20/2026, 2:35:10 AM14 trades$9,3717 min
6/13/2026, 3:55:13 AM6 trades$9,0682 min
6/24/2026, 11:04:31 PM8 trades$8,4703 min
5/17/2026, 1:55:15 AM8 trades$8,4183 min
5/24/2026, 11:23:52 PM38 trades$8,3213 min
5/22/2026, 8:40:45 PM36 trades$8,2884 min
5/24/2026, 8:14:17 PM71 trades$7,9410 min
7/14/2026, 9:03:11 PM22 trades$7,7387 min
5/20/2026, 1:29:12 AM38 trades$7,4266 min
5/21/2026, 8:39:08 PM4 trades$7,2641 min
6/11/2026, 9:39:18 PM13 trades$6,8989 min
5/3/2026, 9:01:10 PM19 trades$6,8841 min
7/15/2026, 10:12:41 PM2 trades$6,5870 min
5/17/2026, 6:38:38 PM48 trades$6,44512 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
05-10
05-21
05-31
06-19
07-07
07-29
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.6 / M32.5 / H59.9