@0x31b2fb490b2050db62ebb6fd16239491b2401f93

75

0x31b2fb490b2050db62ebb6fd16239491b2401f93

~187d· 931 markets · 5517 trades2026-08-02 05:19:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (556/892)16.2/20
1.37x (win $1,819 / loss $1,328)7.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.05315/15
Sortino 5.27310/10
$+0.0892 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 578 (892 markets)9.6/10
85/166 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($199 / $585)7.2/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+272
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$272
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,509
Total Redeem
$409
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
931
total markets
Trades
2499B / 3018S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~187d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
556W / 336L events
Realized PnL
$272
Win Rate
62%
556W / 336L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $459 (1.687031594415871% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$176
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$144
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$140
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$91
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$91
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$54
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$47
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?$45
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$44
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$40

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-57
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-28
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-26
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-26
Will Trump wear a blue tie today?$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$-19
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$-19
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?$-19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.107
Sortino
0.247
HHI
29
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.095
Kelly %
15.9%
Half-Kelly
7.9%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
6.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 454s — normal for humanCV 1.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.85
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.3%
Mid (20-55c)13.1%
High (>55c)71.6%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM10 trades$7,6900 min
6/18/2026, 11:13:40 PM6 trades$3,7425 min
5/11/2026, 3:46:38 PM2 trades$1,8700 min
6/14/2026, 6:02:40 PM2 trades$1,1680 min
5/10/2026, 9:14:39 AM2 trades$1,0400 min
4/1/2026, 3:41:27 AM5 trades$9400 min
4/4/2026, 8:47:11 AM8 trades$8500 min
5/9/2026, 7:26:09 AM8 trades$7493 min
6/12/2026, 2:34:49 PM2 trades$4670 min
6/6/2026, 2:09:03 PM4 trades$4250 min
3/31/2026, 5:06:43 PM2 trades$4060 min
5/11/2026, 1:40:16 AM2 trades$3100 min
5/23/2026, 4:12:49 AM3 trades$3050 min
4/27/2026, 8:20:16 PM8 trades$2983 min
5/13/2026, 6:18:53 AM2 trades$2340 min
8/1/2026, 6:38:02 AM7 trades$2241 min
4/4/2026, 4:00:39 AM3 trades$1990 min
4/7/2026, 11:37:43 PM10 trades$1824 min
5/14/2026, 8:53:27 PM8 trades$1815 min
5/23/2026, 6:52:58 AM4 trades$1753 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
02-19
03-19
04-19
05-17
06-16
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.3 / M13.1 / H71.6