SagiNahor

@SagiNahor

#2,98077

0x31fc1ea26a74aafac1dc52289a86e919a9b44e30

~130d· 136 markets · 995 tradesVol: $1,276,4502026-08-02 06:24:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (50/130)4.2/20
2.83x (win $92,293 / loss $32,585)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.15015/15
Sortino 16.83210/10
$+0.5931 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 585 (130 markets)9.6/10
34/81 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($12,862 / $72,570)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+60,804
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20
Whale
$100,670 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,248$39,498Vol: $1,017,868
🎭 CULTURE#814,279$-3,168Vol: $111,326
SPORTS#2,229$26,808Vol: $47,908
📢 MENTIONS#176,252$-3,966Vol: $42,407
CRYPTO#23,334$1,624Vol: $25,088
💻 TECH#4,994$138Vol: $10,925
💰 FINANCE#646,089$-351Vol: $5,161
📈 ECONOMICS#595,181$-10Vol: $280

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$60,804
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,276,450
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
136
total markets
Trades
849B / 146S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~130d

Periods

#2
Today
$56
Vol: $0
Week
$196
Vol: $0
Month
$28
Vol: $0
All Time
$60,804
Vol: $1,276,450

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
50W / 80L events
Realized PnL
$60,804
Win Rate
38%
50W / 80L
Profit Factor
2.83x
Avg Win
$1,846
Avg Loss
$-407

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $62,673 (1.0307505223381805% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Running Back?$26,921
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$26,504
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$9,248
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?$7,750
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$7,228
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1,966
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during New York rally on October 27?$1,350
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?$1,212
Will Trump say "Elon" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$950
Will another player win FIDE Candidates 2024?$842

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?$-4,241
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$-4,211
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-2,825
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-2,024
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June? $-1,924
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?$-1,378
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$-972
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$-868
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$-847
Will Minnesota Timberwolves be 2023-24 NBA Champions?$-680

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.164
Sortino
0.772
HHI
224
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.607
Kelly %
19.7%
Half-Kelly
9.8%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
22.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 270s — normal for humanCV 3.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.22
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)77.5%
Mid (20-55c)16.1%
High (>55c)6.4%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2024, 10:47:44 PM8 trades$24,1729 min
8/6/2024, 1:14:55 AM2 trades$7,8341 min
7/18/2024, 6:10:29 PM1 trades$5,5130 min
7/31/2024, 3:21:15 PM2 trades$4,5592 min
7/20/2024, 5:24:59 PM1 trades$4,5170 min
7/17/2024, 1:52:52 AM1 trades$4,0160 min
8/13/2024, 1:23:31 AM7 trades$3,81512 min
3/7/2024, 2:27:49 AM1 trades$3,2870 min
2/13/2024, 4:07:25 PM1 trades$3,0390 min
7/21/2024, 8:33:52 PM1 trades$3,0300 min
7/22/2024, 5:34:41 PM2 trades$3,0001 min
1/14/2025, 3:03:29 AM1 trades$2,8270 min
4/21/2024, 1:33:04 PM4 trades$2,6054 min
8/5/2024, 11:43:31 PM1 trades$2,6000 min
7/19/2024, 3:12:38 PM1 trades$2,5800 min
1/14/2025, 1:46:19 AM3 trades$2,5692 min
4/25/2025, 6:38:32 AM3 trades$2,5455 min
7/19/2024, 3:34:57 PM1 trades$2,5290 min
7/19/2024, 2:42:15 PM1 trades$2,4190 min
10/29/2024, 2:02:42 PM2 trades$2,1491 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
05-22
08-14
11-02
12-17
03-05
11-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 376 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.22/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L77.5 / M16.1 / H6.4