@JosephKelley252

#910,52069

0x3245693ca5b27a6af1b622fcfc131e4d68b0b613

~46d· 39 markets · 111 tradesVol: $2192026-08-02 06:25:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (13/25)11/20
2.88x (win $0 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.75215/15
Sortino 14.04210/10
$+0.0006 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 621 (25 markets)9.4/10
8/16 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 55% of peak ($0 / $0)3.1/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
SPORTS#671,641$-0Vol: $115
🏛️ POLITICS#599,708$-0Vol: $51
🎭 CULTURE#296,728$0Vol: $26
💰 FINANCE#284,683$0Vol: $17
📈 ECONOMICS#295,835$-0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-0
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$219
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
61B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $5
Week
$-0
Vol: $5
Month
$-0
Vol: $5
All Time
$-0
Vol: $219

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
13W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-0
Win Rate
52%
13W / 12L
Profit Factor
2.83x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$0
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$0
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$0
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Will Clara Tauson win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-0
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-0
Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-0
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.291
Sortino
0.688
HHI
116
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
18.8%
Half-Kelly
9.4%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
18%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.4h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 0.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.16
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)96.7%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 3:55:15 PM14 trades$135 min
6/25/2026, 11:16:01 AM8 trades$133 min
5/30/2026, 1:26:29 AM8 trades$122 min
7/17/2026, 7:12:49 AM4 trades$101 min
2/1/2026, 5:12:44 PM2 trades$91 min
3/20/2026, 11:16:41 AM2 trades$81 min
3/26/2026, 5:51:37 PM2 trades$81 min
7/1/2026, 2:23:29 PM2 trades$70 min
2/12/2026, 5:57:49 PM1 trades$70 min
5/30/2026, 4:21:10 PM2 trades$60 min
11/16/2025, 1:33:22 PM1 trades$60 min
5/15/2026, 8:18:02 AM2 trades$60 min
5/16/2026, 6:23:12 PM2 trades$60 min
1/24/2026, 7:48:38 PM1 trades$50 min
3/20/2026, 9:49:33 PM1 trades$50 min
5/17/2026, 1:03:11 AM2 trades$50 min
7/29/2026, 9:53:54 AM2 trades$50 min
8/2/2026, 2:29:00 AM2 trades$50 min
11/23/2025, 1:18:21 PM1 trades$50 min
3/27/2026, 10:13:35 AM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
11-21
11-24
11-28
02-14
03-26
04-27
05-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 123 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M0 / H96.7