@aquasolara

#1,931,93954

0x3330475c99514103bf799a9f71b2638455c0d97a

~18d· 53 markets · 374 tradesVol: $25,9852026-08-02 05:12:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (6/20)0/20
7.00x (win $39 / loss $6)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.22715/15
Sortino 52.21410/10
$+0.0017 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1716 (20 markets)3.9/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($6 / $34)10/10

Badges

1
Cool Head
Max DD 17%

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,218,326$-7Vol: $14,616
SPORTS#1,187,951$-4Vol: $8,987
🎭 CULTURE#504,851$-1Vol: $1,622
📈 ECONOMICS#380,056$-0Vol: $337
💰 FINANCE#378,289$-0Vol: $198
CRYPTO#795,905$-0Vol: $147
🌤️ WEATHER#160,098$-0Vol: $78

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,985
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
177B / 197S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-13
Vol: $25,985

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
6W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
30%
6W / 14L
Profit Factor
7x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39 (2.9197299324831203% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?$0
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$0
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0

Top Losers

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$-1
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?$-0
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$-0
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-0
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-0
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.261
Sortino
2.579
HHI
165
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
20.8%
Half-Kelly
10.4%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
23.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.7m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 542s — normal for humanCV 2.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)79.1%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 12:38:02 AM7 trades$1,1420 min
6/23/2026, 6:03:13 AM3 trades$1,1000 min
6/23/2026, 5:08:43 AM5 trades$1,0780 min
6/23/2026, 5:40:52 AM3 trades$1,0660 min
6/23/2026, 11:03:16 PM2 trades$1,0590 min
6/24/2026, 12:49:40 AM2 trades$1,0190 min
6/25/2026, 12:20:47 AM3 trades$9880 min
6/24/2026, 11:09:07 PM2 trades$9680 min
6/24/2026, 12:29:01 AM2 trades$9440 min
4/16/2026, 3:40:18 AM8 trades$8420 min
4/16/2026, 3:15:28 AM3 trades$8240 min
4/16/2026, 4:41:52 AM4 trades$8220 min
6/23/2026, 11:26:22 PM2 trades$8190 min
4/16/2026, 3:58:46 AM2 trades$8020 min
4/14/2026, 6:36:57 AM3 trades$7800 min
4/15/2026, 6:56:46 AM2 trades$7770 min
4/16/2026, 2:42:02 AM2 trades$7690 min
6/23/2026, 5:32:35 AM2 trades$7510 min
4/15/2026, 3:21:34 AM2 trades$7450 min
4/15/2026, 5:12:46 AM2 trades$7360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
03-27
03-28
04-14
04-15
04-16
04-17
04-19
06-23
06-24
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.9 / M0 / H79.1