@omgclayaiken

#3,042,29823

0x34623d51001cdbb2aa277a601a01d08ab63dde48

~85d· 118 markets · 1068 tradesVol: $336,0172026-08-02 05:10:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (57/112)10.4/20
0.46x (win $10,652 / loss $23,244)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3200/15
Sortino -4.5800/10
$-0.1922 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 438 (112 markets)10/10
23/55 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 1259% of peak ($16,761 / $1,331)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.6 entries/market
Whale
$65,511 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,594$-11,036Vol: $303,383
💰 FINANCE#653,029$-1,035Vol: $12,014
SPORTS#23,184$1,887Vol: $7,405
📢 MENTIONS#175,562$-1,654Vol: $7,083
CRYPTO#1,586,860$-499Vol: $1,610
🎭 CULTURE#800,758$-324Vol: $496
📈 ECONOMICS#41,924$10Vol: $440

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,523
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$336,017
Total Redeem
$720
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
844B / 224S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
57W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$-5,523
Win Rate
51%
57W / 55L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$187
Avg Loss
$-423

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,631 (0.6575184464261463% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$1,331
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$1,172
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$1,129
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$993
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$740
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$572
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?$531
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$398
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?$360
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?$345

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-3,871
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$-3,176
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-1,664
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-1,489
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,388
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$-1,130
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$-906
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$-571
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-545
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$-522

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.224
Sortino
-0.213
HHI
344
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.199
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
34.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 456s — normal for humanCV 3.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.62
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.5%
Mid (20-55c)23.9%
High (>55c)39.6%

Sessions

#12
10/10/2025, 7:54:06 PM1 trades$7,6550 min
10/6/2025, 8:58:30 PM1 trades$4,3220 min
2/28/2026, 7:12:13 AM10 trades$3,7773 min
2/15/2026, 4:15:47 PM1 trades$2,9760 min
4/9/2026, 4:37:01 PM10 trades$2,8630 min
2/15/2026, 1:50:03 AM1 trades$2,8530 min
4/15/2026, 9:30:26 PM6 trades$2,6280 min
2/28/2026, 10:17:27 AM2 trades$2,3830 min
3/24/2026, 7:04:01 PM2 trades$2,2090 min
3/21/2026, 10:30:33 PM2 trades$2,1531 min
3/24/2026, 5:11:55 PM2 trades$1,6391 min
2/26/2026, 11:25:00 PM7 trades$1,6056 min
2/15/2026, 11:50:07 PM1 trades$1,5600 min
9/23/2025, 6:42:44 PM1 trades$1,5310 min
3/21/2026, 6:17:41 PM1 trades$1,5080 min
4/24/2026, 12:08:34 AM2 trades$1,2250 min
2/19/2026, 10:55:08 PM4 trades$1,1844 min
2/19/2026, 1:34:42 AM1 trades$1,1360 min
3/22/2026, 7:29:27 AM3 trades$1,0731 min
2/15/2026, 1:03:43 AM1 trades$1,0500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-10
02-18
02-27
03-13
03-31
04-25
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 189 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.62/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.5 / M23.9 / H39.6