@mw97
180x36da5ca5d1d4b79f1c2ebbb09be8c13834568218
~277d· 643 markets · 5161 trades2026-08-02 06:22:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (237/627)3.9/20
0.91x (win $22,048 / loss $24,322)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5260/15
Sortino -0.8970/10
$-0.0256 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 180 (627 markets)10/10
81/202 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 139% of peak ($8,104 / $5,829)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+173
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Whale
$88,786 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$173
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,786
Total Redeem
$362
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
643
total markets
Trades
3513B / 1648S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~277d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
237W / 390L events
Realized PnL
$173
Win Rate
38%
237W / 390L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-65
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,535 (37.87297171998145% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$2,794
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$2,070
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$1,672
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$1,350
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?$935
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $758
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?$696
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$680
US strikes Yemen by December 31?$601
Khamenei public appearance by February 28, 2026?$489
Top Losers
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-964
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-922
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$-829
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-791
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?$-783
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-685
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-654
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-650
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$-579
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-577
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.028
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
136
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
18.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
12.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 478s — normal for humanCV 4.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.92
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)65.2%
Mid (20-55c)18.4%
High (>55c)16.4%
Sessions
#125/11/2026, 12:47:03 PM5 trades$12,5550 min
3/31/2026, 9:36:43 PM14 trades$4,5128 min
5/11/2026, 7:51:03 PM20 trades$4,3525 min
4/1/2026, 6:36:53 AM2 trades$2,9790 min
5/21/2026, 10:10:26 PM10 trades$2,7831 min
3/28/2026, 9:33:28 PM4 trades$2,6693 min
4/29/2026, 10:38:26 AM9 trades$2,5252 min
5/18/2026, 7:47:01 PM8 trades$2,0763 min
5/26/2026, 12:06:29 AM14 trades$1,9446 min
3/27/2026, 6:27:25 AM3 trades$1,9234 min
5/9/2026, 8:41:48 PM6 trades$1,8974 min
4/8/2026, 5:25:07 PM37 trades$1,81824 min
3/29/2026, 12:11:28 PM7 trades$1,7701 min
3/1/2026, 11:03:35 PM7 trades$1,63410 min
4/3/2026, 6:58:35 PM10 trades$1,6330 min
7/24/2026, 11:01:22 PM3 trades$1,6000 min
3/26/2026, 8:57:21 PM2 trades$1,5534 min
4/23/2026, 4:40:18 PM6 trades$1,5001 min
2/28/2026, 8:18:25 AM4 trades$1,3706 min
3/4/2026, 7:47:43 PM1 trades$1,2400 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
10-29
12-07
01-13
03-03
04-23
07-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 127 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.2 / M18.4 / H16.4