free-li

@free-li

#2,945,48535

0x36f9d645dc33a768119f89eb34061728977bd1ba

~17d· 50 markets · 173 tradesVol: $19,183 @ljil1439752026-08-02 06:36:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (36/49)20/20
0.49x (win $790 / loss $1,626)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9490/15
Sortino -6.0160/10
$-0.1057 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 714 (49 markets)8.9/10
9/16 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 3091% of peak ($957 / $31)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Win Streak
19 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,835,583$-1,207Vol: $18,065
🏛️ POLITICS#278,249$2Vol: $1,118

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,205
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,183
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
72B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
36W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-1,205
Win Rate
73%
36W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-136

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $231 (0.19198665825893596% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Norway (-1.5)$108
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)$62
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$61
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)$56
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$54
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$52
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$41
Spread: Colombia (-3.5)$38
Spread: England (-2.5)$36
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$33

Top Losers

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-360
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-340
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-212
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-200
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-145
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$-133
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-110
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-84
Spread: Spain (-1.5)$-30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.301
Sortino
-0.304
HHI
560
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.106
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17%
Top-5 markets
39.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 1.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.47
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.7%
Mid (20-55c)8.3%
High (>55c)81.9%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 6:11:35 PM2 trades$9050 min
6/28/2026, 12:02:34 AM11 trades$6733 min
6/27/2026, 4:43:56 PM14 trades$6313 min
6/27/2026, 3:23:20 AM10 trades$6171 min
6/26/2026, 9:51:28 PM9 trades$5931 min
7/1/2026, 4:56:49 PM4 trades$5691 min
7/19/2026, 2:35:31 PM2 trades$5620 min
7/1/2026, 5:56:28 PM7 trades$4591 min
6/28/2026, 1:42:19 AM6 trades$4121 min
6/17/2026, 8:52:26 AM5 trades$3741 min
6/15/2026, 9:34:03 PM6 trades$3422 min
6/15/2026, 7:05:51 AM12 trades$3171 min
7/18/2026, 9:05:39 PM2 trades$3060 min
7/19/2026, 6:54:40 AM4 trades$2811 min
6/21/2026, 9:19:46 PM2 trades$2530 min
6/18/2026, 8:42:10 AM6 trades$2431 min
6/21/2026, 6:50:52 PM4 trades$2420 min
7/1/2026, 2:06:29 PM2 trades$2270 min
6/21/2026, 10:02:44 AM3 trades$2190 min
6/14/2026, 6:46:09 AM2 trades$2120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
06-14
06-16
06-18
06-20
06-26
06-28
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.7 / M8.3 / H81.9