@0x378d4fc4b3c2affeede01df17c059f13b9a0a852
570x378d4fc4b3c2affeede01df17c059f13b9a0a852
~8d· 25 markets · 139 trades2026-08-02 07:56:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (9/25)3/20
1.22x (win $670 / loss $550)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.09615/15
Sortino 6.85410/10
$+0.1583 per $1 invested7.9/10
HHI 2008 (25 markets)2.5/10
5/8 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($100 / $220)4.9/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
Consistent
5/8 profitable days
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-56
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$757
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
27B / 112S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
9W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-56
Win Rate
36%
9W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$74
Avg Loss
$-39
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $409 (7.332974331358823% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$158
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?$150
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?$100
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?$84
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$4
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?$-93
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 22?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 16?$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-50
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$-30
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?$-20
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 12?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.201
Sortino
0.438
HHI
948
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.158
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.8%
Top-5 markets
54.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 609s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule12 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)48.1%
Mid (20-55c)29.6%
High (>55c)22.2%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 5:53:16 PM31 trades$20,8296 min
6/12/2026, 3:44:09 AM2 trades$15,0000 min
6/11/2026, 6:33:01 PM17 trades$5,7750 min
6/11/2026, 4:40:25 PM3 trades$2,5000 min
6/12/2026, 5:13:01 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/21/2026, 12:50:55 PM22 trades$6501 min
6/15/2026, 3:45:10 PM6 trades$5000 min
6/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM19 trades$3192 min
6/16/2026, 6:42:12 AM4 trades$2450 min
6/22/2026, 4:48:52 AM2 trades$1280 min
6/15/2026, 3:34:54 PM6 trades$1040 min
6/15/2026, 3:27:43 PM6 trades$1040 min
6/18/2026, 5:27:35 PM3 trades$530 min
6/11/2026, 7:38:58 PM3 trades$460 min
6/11/2026, 4:50:34 PM5 trades$420 min
6/11/2026, 7:50:43 PM3 trades$390 min
6/12/2026, 5:01:27 AM3 trades$200 min
6/11/2026, 5:36:13 PM2 trades$70 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-12
06-15
06-16
06-18
06-19
06-21
06-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.1 / M29.6 / H22.2