@olivas

#219,45988

0x37a0167c1f4b30ca2246f5bff0e0ff3f91fdec34

~248d· 731 markets · 1893 tradesVol: $109,5962026-08-02 07:40:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (434/594)20/20
1.83x (win $2,612 / loss $1,427)12.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.53615/15
Sortino 15.77510/10
$+0.0367 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 281 (594 markets)10/10
137/216 profitable days (63%)8.4/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($91 / $1,256)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Consistent
137/216 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,516,905$-29Vol: $46,756
🏛️ POLITICS#90,986$50Vol: $29,898
₿ CRYPTO#127,347$50Vol: $13,826
💰 FINANCE#625,732$-75Vol: $7,176
🎭 CULTURE#39,458$31Vol: $7,095
📈 ECONOMICS#605,282$-12Vol: $1,306
📢 MENTIONS#8,011$63Vol: $1,019
💻 TECH#15,641$14Vol: $951
🌤️ WEATHER#218,283$-3Vol: $585

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$118
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$109,596
Total Redeem
$584
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
731
total markets
Trades
1151B / 742S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~248d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$30
Vol: $0
Month
$30
Vol: $0
All Time
$118
Vol: $109,596

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
434W / 160L events
Realized PnL
$-1,246
Win Rate
73%
434W / 160L
Profit Factor
1.83x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,128 (0.9045834904487215% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$590
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$352
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$186
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$115
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$110
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$103
Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$101
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?$94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$83
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" in October?$61

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?$-452
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-72
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-57
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$-34
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5$-31
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?$-27
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 1 - 7)$-25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-25
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie$-24
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.133
Sortino
0.643
HHI
150
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
22.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 758s — normal for humanCV 2.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.5 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.47
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)80%

Sessions

#12
12/26/2025, 5:56:17 PM2 trades$1,9401 min
4/28/2026, 1:03:48 PM20 trades$1,5454 min
5/13/2026, 10:23:16 AM3 trades$1,3216 min
3/25/2026, 10:35:25 PM53 trades$1,18559 min
12/20/2025, 6:22:45 PM3 trades$1,0182 min
4/28/2026, 1:42:30 PM2 trades$1,0040 min
12/30/2025, 1:00:31 PM1 trades$9740 min
12/30/2025, 11:45:33 PM3 trades$7664 min
4/28/2026, 1:34:06 PM2 trades$7253 min
5/13/2026, 10:58:53 AM1 trades$7000 min
5/24/2026, 9:48:53 AM2 trades$6500 min
1/12/2026, 12:25:18 PM1 trades$6390 min
3/1/2026, 12:01:57 PM11 trades$6298 min
5/13/2026, 10:12:32 AM1 trades$6240 min
3/1/2026, 11:05:35 AM5 trades$6247 min
5/14/2026, 8:11:38 PM3 trades$6040 min
3/1/2026, 12:35:09 PM5 trades$5775 min
5/14/2026, 5:33:56 PM8 trades$5724 min
2/1/2026, 2:56:14 PM1 trades$5520 min
3/5/2026, 8:19:27 PM1 trades$5190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
11-28
01-07
02-15
04-02
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.2 / M10.8 / H80